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Notrigsbyscat
25-03-2014, 09:45 PM
reasonably, is that Derby gone? We would have to lose at least 5, Derby winning at least 5, and do better than us in the other 3 for them to overtake us.

So while not statistically there, it would require a reverse of cataclysmic proportions for it not now be about us, Leicester and QPR

B)

Notrigsbyscat
25-03-2014, 09:53 PM
and while we're at it, going back to one game at a time, a win on Saturday assures us of the play-offs (goal difference allowing)!

gsyclaret
25-03-2014, 09:56 PM
Good post it would have been better if QPR had drawn , but we must not grumble, we are in pole position. >:)

DiBraidio
25-03-2014, 09:57 PM
13 points behind with 24 still to play for.

That could be back to 10 on Saturday unless we beat Leicester. - view external link (http://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/championship/league?sort=predicted)

LancasterClaret
25-03-2014, 09:57 PM
If we win on Saturday, QPR will be chasing Leicester.

We are so, so close

claretnick
25-03-2014, 10:05 PM
Let's not forget, every Claret victory breaks the spirit of the chasing pack. QPR tonight will have got back to the dressing room to be told we have won and further improved our goal difference on them; a morale sapper...

dermotdermot
25-03-2014, 10:08 PM
No, that could be back to seven unless we beat Leicester.

gsyclaret
25-03-2014, 10:21 PM
Dermot, I don't think for a minute that they will beat us on Saturday, I think we will have a full squad to pick from, I reckon we will beat them.

Redbeard
25-03-2014, 10:23 PM
3, NRC ? :?

It's been 2 for weeks...:)

Peter_Nobles_Wig
25-03-2014, 10:32 PM
"I think we will have a full squad to pick from, I reckon we will beat them"

Less Marney I believe! :blue:

solidsilver1862
25-03-2014, 10:50 PM
We could have been top of the Championship on Saturday night but for show boating when we got two up Dean Marnie was booked, that booking could cost us the title as champions It was a stupid thing to do, but with the crowd cheering every Burnley pass it all went wrong when suddenly we lost control of the ball and Deano went in to heavy.And the card came out!!

Redbeard
25-03-2014, 10:56 PM
We will still go top on Saturday night if we win by three. :)

ANuttyClaret
25-03-2014, 11:03 PM
We would only require a 2-0 win to go top. A goal takes us to +34, and reduces their +35 to +34 at the same time.

steddyman
25-03-2014, 11:10 PM
Actually a 1-0 win on Saturday would be enough to send us top.

We we would have a goal difference of 34 but alphabetically B comes before L :)

beeholeclaret2
25-03-2014, 11:11 PM
Redbeard as we are actually playing Leicester each goal we score reduces theirs by one goal also. 2-0 takes us top but 1-0 sees us level on points and GD so not sure who would go top in that instance! UTC :D

1972Claret
25-03-2014, 11:11 PM
We would go top if we won by 2 - 2 for us would also be 2 against for them.

They still have that game in hand though and have to play QPR yet - which will help us 1 way or another.

Redbeard
25-03-2014, 11:20 PM
Beehole - I'm quite aware, thankyou, that any goals we score against Leicester would reduce their goal difference. :)

But yes, it's two we need, not three. :)

FCBurnley
25-03-2014, 11:20 PM
We could be without Ings, Trips, Barnes and defo Marney v Leicester.

cdav
25-03-2014, 11:21 PM
I you will find 1-0 is not enough! We would both have a GD of +34. In that event goals scored comes into play. They have scored six more goals than us.

So I think we would need to win by 2 clear goals.

cdav
25-03-2014, 11:25 PM
w you have lost me Redbeard. If we win by 2 goals our GD is 35. But theirs reduces to 33 does it not?

thedonz
25-03-2014, 11:26 PM
The ole cheers I am sure are from all the posters on here 'enjoying the journey' :D:-D
Lets not over-react to Marney missing the game.
As Claridge said on Saturday somebody has been kidding us about Burnley only having a small squad.
Leicester to beat QPR at home and I might start to enjoy the journey

mdd2
25-03-2014, 11:32 PM
If we beat Leicester with Ings tripps and marney missing then SD really will walk on water

Redbeard
25-03-2014, 11:33 PM
Cdav - Yeah, mate : I've edited that previous post.

We need to win by two.

claretspice
25-03-2014, 11:48 PM
The answer to the OP is yes. We can forget about Derby, and Wigan now.

It's a 3 horse race, just that QPR start at at the first bend and we start on the home straight.

As Lancaster says, we so close now. 2 more wins leaves Leicester needing 6, perhaps even 7, wins from their remaining 8. They've got an easier run of games coming and so nothing can be taken for granted, but that 10 point gap becomes of greater significance with each passing game.

None of which detracts from the need to go at one game at a time.

Redbeard
26-03-2014, 12:04 AM
'The answer to the OP is yes. We can forget about Derby, and Wigan now.'

That is not 'the answer,' Spice. That is your opinion.

I'm not sure why you believe we can forget about Derby, but not about QPR who have only three more points - but in any case, I think we can forget about both of them, since neither of them are going to close a ten-point gap to catch us.

It's a 2-horse race for the title, as I see it.

claretspice
26-03-2014, 12:14 AM
Redbeard- yep, it's my opinion. But it's also backed by decent maths.

To overhaul a 13 point lead with 8 games to go requires you to make up almost 2 points a game.

To make up 10 is tough, very tough, but it if they win their next 2, and we say draw both of ours then the gap is 6 points - still healthy, but less healthy.

Which is why I think if you tMe away the fluff it's hard to discount QPR, but an enormous ask for Derby.