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Happyclaret12
02-12-2014, 06:58 AM
no time for long reasonings but in timed order

12 45...gold ingot...lay...really poor sire
1 15...the tourard man...lay at odds on...2 or 3 realistic dangers for this to be odds on.
1 50...bandit country...lay...jonjos horses largely out of form...
2 10...lean on pete...ew bet 7/1
2 20...ransom note...lay...very poor stats for sire with cut in the ground
2 40...penelope pitstop...bet...3 awful draws last 3 runs on the all weather and run creditably on all 3 occasions...looks a 2 horse race so 3/1 too big.
2 50...arthur mc bride...place lay..very poor sire over jumps.
3 30...cloudy dream...lay...sires 3 and 4 year olds very poor.
5 10...warden bond...ew bet 14/1

yesterdays ew bet LEXINGTON ROSE was beaten a head into 4th...I backed her again on betfair at lunch time at odds of 35 but she only traded at 9 in running and my offer of 4.5 was not taken...she definitely has a race in her but cannot help but think that the sharper lingfield track would be ideal...didn't think she truely sa

stewkil
02-12-2014, 09:02 PM
Cheers Happy, turned a decent profit on these today

Happyclaret12
03-12-2014, 10:01 AM
well done Stewkil...very very fortunate with Arthur Mc Bride as he fell at the last when booked for 2nd...made the difference on the day for me between winning and losing.
back in the swing with my new database now and putting in plenty of hours so hopefully will be a profitable...december normally is a good month.

just a note about any bets given...I always lay off entire stake in running...leaving many free bets...of course you lose a few quid when they win but thats fine with me...generally speaking lay off at around 1/4 of the bet price so if a horse was a bet @ 5 I would lay entire stake @ 2 in running ( using the keep button on betfair ).
todays with approx odds
1240...moss street ...lay...3.5
1 00...greatest journey...lay...2.8
1 10...shinooki...lay...3.5
1 20...top of the glas...lay...2.3
1 30...clement...ew bet 60...(superb course and distance form...good win down the slow inner rail and a running on 2nd beaten a neck...both off higher handicap marks and today has a clai

Happyclaret12
04-12-2014, 07:26 AM
12 20...BLUE ATLANTIC...3/1
12 50...WARRANTOR...9/4
both are bets or perhaps an each way double...from the red hot stable of warren greatrex...blue atlantic is being targeted at the triumph hurdle...both would seem to have their ideal conditions.

1 00 taj badlandaabad...lay...7/4...needs lots of cut and even if it is soft enough today he still has to give weight away all round and form is nothing special.

2 05 clan william...lay...3/1...awful sire...and stable not having many winners.

2 25...shear rock...lay 7/4...the sires 4 year olds are 0/18 on the national hunt so will take him on as fav.

2 45 minelladefinitely...each way bet..trainer thinks this horse is very fairly handicapped but needs to be fresh...63 day lay off should suit then and stable having lots of winners.

3 10 ballydague lady...lay...2/1...very tough slog at sedgefield 2 days ago and the ground will be faster today which is unlikely to be ideal.

utc.

williamsorhowey
04-12-2014, 03:29 PM
Good day today, I place layed the ones that were over 3-1, I place laid the last one at evens in running, nice profit today.

stewkil
05-12-2014, 06:53 AM
Happy...would you be kind enough to drop me an email I have a few different email addresses for you and not sure which one you are using atm!

stewkil@gmail.com

Happyclaret12
05-12-2014, 11:01 AM
nice 1 Howey...will do Stewkil...
no time today for any reasoning at all.
12 30...bittern..place lay 5/4
12 50 storm force...bet 16/1
1 00 loving your work...place lay..5/2
1 40...wilton milan...lay..2/1
2 50 boss in boots...ew bet 16/1
xaarcet...lay..3/1
3 10 club house...ew bet..10/1
3 20 flying award ew bet 12/1
3 40 gaelic silver...bet 4/1
lay persepolis 4/1 and lu's buddy..4/1
3 50 wishful dreaming...bet...7/4
sparky...bet 8/1
4 00 logans lad...ew bet 14/1
5 00 master bond...16/1 ew bet
5 30 darkside dream...lay...11/4
6 00 sakhra 6/1 ew bet
7 30 sarlat...5/1 ew bet

utc

Happyclaret12
06-12-2014, 10:53 AM
12 00...BEAST OF BURDEN...7/4...BET
12 40...SAINTS AND SINNERS...5/2...LAY
1 00...DISTIME...3/1...LAY
1 10...GUIDING GEORGE..5/2...LAY
FRIENDLY ROYAL...4/1...LAY
FORTY CROWN...12/1...BET
OMID...16/1...BET
1 20...ANDY KELLY...8/1...BET
PRIMA PORTA 14/1...BET
1 30...MENDIP EXPRESS 14/1...CHANCE DU ROY...12/1...BENBENS...16/1...SAINT ARE...14/1...ALL EW BETS WITH SPORTINGBET WHO ARE PAYING FIRST 5 PLACES AND ARE TOP PRICE ON ALL SELECTIONS.
1 40...WILDE PASTURES...9/4...BET
1 50..VIBRATO VALTAT...7/2...BET...IRISH SAINT...5/4...LAY
2 15...LIGHTNING ROD...BET...9/4
2 25...DORMELLO MO...EW BET...4/1
2 35...AUDACIOUS PLAN...9/4 ...LAY
2 40...HOLYWELL...2/1...LAY
2 50...BROKETHEGATE...12/1...BET
3 00...BALDER SUCCES...7/2 EW BET
3 15...POOLE MASTER...25/1...EW BET
3 35...KASBADALI...3/1...LAY
3 45...THUNDER AND RAIN...3/1...LAY.

NOT DONE WOLVES YET...ANYTHING OF INTEREST WILL BE POSTED LATER.

UTC.

Happyclaret12
06-12-2014, 10:55 AM
BEAST OF BURDEN IN 12 00...NONE RUNNER

Happyclaret12
07-12-2014, 08:22 AM
1250...WAKANDA...4/1...BET
1 05...HIGHLAND RETREAT...5/6...BET
1 35...AUTHORSHIP...9/4...LAY
2 35...HANNAHS PRINCESS...7/2...EW BET
3 05...LIFEBOAT MONA...9/4...LAY
...TRIGGER POINT...12/1...EW BET

Happyclaret12
08-12-2014, 07:22 AM
1 00 WESIES DREAM...PLACE LAY
2 30...BINT DANDY...5/2..LAY
2 40...GRACIOUS GEORGE...EW BET...9/2
3 40...SHALAMBAR...5/2...LAY

Happyclaret12
09-12-2014, 07:20 AM
12 00 BELLE BAYARDO...EW BET 12/1
12 20 PANDORICA LAY ( ONLY IF 3.5 OR SHORTER )
12 30 CAPTAIN KOKO...10/1 EW BET
12 40 SOURIYAN...EW BET 12/1
12 50 GRAND VISION 6/4...should be different class given a clear round.
1 00 MASKED DANCE...8/1 EW BET
2 30 BROSNAN...16/1 EW BET
3 30 MASTER DAN...LAY 2/1

also ew lucky 15 belle bayardo...captain koko...souriyan...brosnan.
ew double...captain koko and souriyan.

captain koko travelled well on debut at kemp showing a real round action...sire selkirk has very few winners on debut so this should improve a ton for te run and the deep surface should be ideal.
souriyan has top class form in france and trainer regards highly...first time out could be the only chance of a juicy price.

BigDave48
09-12-2014, 03:26 PM
Cheers for that Happy.I included 3 of your selections and 2 of my own in a 50p ew Canadian on betfair where the odds are much bigger and even though I didn't have a winner I still won over 350

Happyclaret12
10-12-2014, 07:28 AM
well done Big ( or not so big as the case may be...you gym bunny you :D ) Dave.
here's 1 or 2 to perhaps reinvest in
12 30 ITS ONLY BUSINESS..EW BET 10/1
1 20 SHARNEY SIKE...LAY 3/1
1 30 KINDLELIGHT STORM..EW BET 20/1
2 00..EVENING ATTIRE 9/1 AND CORPORAL MADDOX 11/1...BOTH WIN BETS
2 30...BARRACUDA BOY 7/1 AND OUT DO 8/1..BOTH WIN BETS
2 40.. SNOWELL..7/2 BET
3 00..MATRAASH...4/1 WIN BET
3 30..ZAEEM...PLACE LAY..5/2
4 40 KYRENIA CASTLE...LAY..9/4

Happyclaret12
11-12-2014, 07:17 AM
12 40...SOUTHFIELD VIC...LAY EVEN MONEY
4 20...COLOURFILLY...BET 7/4
6 50...STEELRIVER...EW BET 6/1

Happyclaret12
12-12-2014, 07:43 AM
12 10...CLONDOW KAEMPFER...LAY...11/8
12 30...KINGS PALACE...LAY...8/11
1 50...SWING HARD...BET...9/2
4 00...JEBEDIAH SHINE...LAY...3/1

claretnels
12-12-2014, 01:13 PM
Happy, just to be clear, this is in no way a dig, I enjoy reading your topics and have backed winners because of your posts before, I've just got a bit confused over the last few months what the selections are being based on, for a while it seemed two seperate systems were being tried and there was no mention of any of your own input, but now we seem to be back to your input only. Is that correct? If so what went wrong with the systems and why whilst the system were being used did you seem to abandon your own judgement but are now back to using your own judgement?

Sorry if that seems a bit fifth degree, it's just always best to know as much as possible before throwing money at it, which I inevitably will.

Good luck with the selections.

williamsorhowey
12-12-2014, 01:33 PM
As Happy clearly stated the other 2, jumps bets and bookies bets, were both tipping services he was trailing. Like many of these services they got of too flying starts with some people on here making a lot of money. They then went off the boil I dont get what people need explaining. If you dont want to bother keep your money in your pockey and off these threads!!

claretnels
12-12-2014, 01:40 PM
The question was though, or at least was trying to get at was the reason he didn't have his own selections throughout the period of trailing the services, if, (as previous tips would suggest) his own system regular turns a profit, why would that be abandoned.

Like I said though, I enjoy the posts so certainly won't be getting off them, I thought it was a reasonable question which he can choose to answer or not, if not I've not got a problem with that but there's no harm in asking, this is a forum after all.

williamsorhowey
12-12-2014, 02:18 PM
I can only guess the bookies bets were going so well to begin with why would you bother putting all your time in when someone else can do it for you. Mark my words doing this like Happy does is not an hour here and an hour there!

Happyclaret12
13-12-2014, 10:23 AM
Hi Claretnels...sorry for delay...dont read the forum until re posting next day.
I have no confidence in the 2 services tried so have gone back to doing my own thing...hours and hours of form study and tons of watching videos...many selections will be based on sire stats...draw bias...trainer form..etc..etc...unfortunately don't have time to do a full explanation for each horse any more but rest assured they have sound reasoning.
today
11 45..king edmund...lay...evens
11 55...robbie and hi george...lay both
12 05...balinka...20/1 bet...saved my bacon 9/1...bet
12 40...fire in babylon...9/4...lay
12 50...virak...bet...7/2
1 40...grandads horse...lay...9/4
1 50...woolfall sovereign...ew bet...14/1
2 00...darna...ew bet...12/1
2 05...light entertainment...bet...5/2
2 15..l'aigle royal...bet...9/1...place and go...lay...evens
2 25...hickster...ew..5/1
2 35...blaklion...15/8...lay

Happyclaret12
14-12-2014, 09:00 AM
Well...thank god saturday is over...shocking results...unfortunately I will have 1/2 a dozen days like that every year where if it can go wrong it will go wrong...the football equivalent of west brom away :blue: ...at least the lads won :D .
today
12 35 SAND ARTIST...PLACE LAY...5/4
12 45 MIDNIGHT BELLE...EW BET...5/1
1 20 LEWIS...BET...15/8
1 55 BASFORD BEN...9/4..LAY

claretnels
15-12-2014, 11:18 AM
Cheers for responses lads, shame the 2 services didn't work then with the amount of time it could of saved you had it been decent.