At the beginning of the season there are 5 possible outcomes, you can win the league, get automatic promotion, get into the play offs, stay in the league or be relegated. We have achieved the very least we could have, there isn't anything worse than being relegated. Of course the deck was stacked against us somewhat but it was also stacked against Preston and Millwall and they have both achieved more. I looked at betting on Rotherham to stay up at the start of the season. We were second favourites after Bolton to go down but the best I was offered to stay up was 4/6, whereas the odds on going down were 6/4. The bookies thought that we had a 60% chance to stay up and a 40% chance of going down so all the nonsense about what a great achievement it is to still be in with a chance with 2 games to go is exactly that, nonsense. I would characterize Warne's managerial performance as average.
I have mostly enjoyed the home games this season, we have generally competed and done okay but I feel for the regular away trippers. Every time I have been away the negative way of playing, to try and stay in the game for 70 minutes was soul destroying and it didn't even work!! We were simply not good enough defensively to play that way as we always had at least 1/2 mistakes in us that meant a containing policy wouldn't work. There are some excellent sides in the championship but there are at least as many mediocre ones and we failed to capitalize on that time after time.
As for the lack of signings in January, we will never know but it is my understanding that there was money available for transfer fees and wages, Jamie Johnson had made his recommendations but Warne wanted players who followed his 'good human beings' mantra so as to not unsettle the squad dynamic. That conflict was never going to work, lets hope Warne can work better with Rob Scott (who I believe is by no means a good human being).
I wouldn't get rid of Warne at this point but he will be under much more pressure next season. If Ajayi & Vaulks are sold for decent fees then we have a chance to get some young hungry replacements and add the much needed defensive coach to the mix which should leave us in good stead for a play off challenge. Don't be surprised though if Warne is gone after a poor start.