Originally Posted by
Chicken Balti Pie
I think everyone is focusing on the impact in Britain, whereas I have noticed a lack of news on the impact on the EU? For example, the Irish are going to have to pay tariffs on goods from their largest trading partner, that isn't going to help them on bit, the EU loses a massive market for their goods. It seems that France and Ireland (mainly Macron and the Irish PM) are the ones trying to scupper a deal because they are focussing on what they can swipe from London.
My proposition is, wait until the tariffs hit Ireland and its economy, German industry won't be best pleased with a no deal scenario, job loses will not help Merkel at all. The eastern European countries will also be hit as well, this will lead to pressure on France to help the euro zone which isn't going to help an already unpopular Macron. What I'm suggesting is, a no deal brexit will be felt here instantly but we can recover, trading with the rest of the world. Longer term it's going to hurt the EU big hitters hard, I'd say a year or two down the line, Merkel and Macron will be gone and it wouldn't surprise me to see the EU project start to crumble. Not because of brexit per se, but because the EU have failed to plan properly. It's a no win situation for either side but Britain will have an easier time recovering