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Thread: Will 51 Pts be enough ?

  1. #1
    Join Date
    Jul 2009
    Posts
    296

    Will 51 Pts be enough ?

    Looking at the remaining games, I have tried to be realistic in the points we can achieve, bearing in mind the teams we are playing and the situtaion they are in (ie promotion, play offs fighting relegation.

    Will this be enough ?


    Crewe Alex (Current Pts total) 30 Pts
    Bradford (a)1 Pt
    Brentford (h)0
    Port Vale (a)1 pt
    Stevenage (a)3 Pts
    Peterborough (a)0
    Walsall (a)1 Pt
    Oldham (h)3 Pts
    Gillingham (a)1 Pt
    Notts County (h)3 Pts
    Coventry (H)1 pt
    Crawley (a)1 Pt
    Wolves (h)0
    Shrewsbury (a)1 Pt
    Colchester (h)3 Pts
    Bristol City (a)1 Pt
    Preston North End (h)1 Pt

    Overall Total51 Pts

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Mar 2011
    Posts
    3,191

    re: Will 51 Pts be enough ?

    It depends when we get those 51pts. :-D March 15 would be rather good, if nearly impossible!

    Marginally more seriously, I think this list is pretty pessimistic and does not take into account the growing confidence we have seen since the beginning of December.

    But the bottom half of the table is such a tight mess that any four of 10 or 12 could drop. It's a while since I have seen such a lottery around the drop zone. No room for silly mistakes.

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Oct 2013
    Posts
    43

    re: Will 51 Pts be enough ?

    This has given me more hope of survival because I agree it is quite a pessimistic outlook, especially away from home. And still we would get 51 which I think would be enough. Don't want to leave it till last few games of the season though

  4. #4

    re: Will 51 Pts be enough ?

    Quote Originally Posted by AlexonTour
    Looking at the remaining games, I have tried to be realistic in the points we can achieve, bearing in mind the teams we are playing and the situtaion they are in (ie promotion, play offs fighting relegation.

    Will this be enough ?


    Crewe Alex (Current Pts total) 30 Pts
    Bradford (a)1 Pt
    Brentford (h)0
    Port Vale (a)1 pt
    Stevenage (a)3 Pts
    Peterborough (a)0
    Walsall (a)1 Pt
    Oldham (h)3 Pts
    Gillingham (a)1 Pt
    Notts County (h)3 Pts
    Coventry (H)1 pt
    Crawley (a)1 Pt
    Wolves (h)0
    Shrewsbury (a)1 Pt
    Colchester (h)3 Pts
    Bristol City (a)1 Pt
    Preston North End (h)1 Pt

    Overall Total51 Pts

    Also think you have missed out the Swindon game ?

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    1,024

    re: Will 51 Pts be enough ?

    Absolutely no chance whatsoever of going through the rest of the season and only losing 3 games.

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Posts
    93

    re: Will 51 Pts be enough ?

    Fund this on the Sheff. Utd (whilst savouring the posts following their "disgraceful, embarrassing, humiliating" defeat to the mighty Alex.

    Numbers on the left indicate points, numbers in brackets indicate games played.

    52 No team relegated on this total
    51
    50 Safety 2012, Safety 2010*, Safety 2009, Safety 2008*, Average Safety 2008-2013(49.5).
    49 Safety 2013
    48 Safety 2011
    47
    46 Walsall(29)
    45 Peterborough(28)
    44
    43
    42
    41 Swindon(29)
    40
    39 Port Vale(27)
    38
    37
    36 MK Dons(28)
    35 Gillingham(28)
    34 Coventry(27), Bradford(27), Colchester(26)
    33 Oldham(27)
    32
    31 Crawley(25), Tranmere(29)
    30 Carlisle(28), Crewe(29)
    29
    28
    27 Bristol City(29),
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------
    27 Shrewsbury(29), Notts C(30)
    26 Sheff U(27)
    25 Stevenage(27)


    next games:
    Tranmere(29) - 31 points: Preston(H), Bristol C(A), Crawley(A), Coventry(H), Oldham(H)

    Carlisle(28) - 30 points: Gillingham(H), Bradford(H), Crawley(A), Coventry(A), Rotherham(H)

    Crewe A(29) - 30 points:

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Posts
    93

    re: Will 51 Pts be enough ?

    * Found

  8. #8
    Join Date
    Jul 2009
    Posts
    7,608

    re: Will 51 Pts be enough ?

    Quote Originally Posted by whosbrianwilson
    Absolutely no chance whatsoever of going through the rest of the season and only losing 3 games.
    I would settle for the 51 points total to be honest, especially considering the dreadful start to the season from the Alex. The author of this thread is being pretty optimistic considering he has allowed for just 3 defeats in the remaining games of the season.

  9. #9
    Join Date
    Jul 2009
    Posts
    296

    re: Will 51 Pts be enough ?

    Quote Originally Posted by alexmick
    Absolutely no chance whatsoever of going through the rest of the season and only losing 3 games.
    I would settle for the 51 points total to be honest, especially considering the dreadful start to the season from the Alex. The author of this thread is being pretty optimistic considering he has allowed for just 3 defeats
    in the remaining games of the season.[/quote]

    I possibly agree Alexmick whosbrianwilson after our dreadful start to the season, we need to consistently pick up points in the remaining matches if we are going to achieve a points target which might give us a chance of surviving so the margins are extremely tight. A few surprise wins and the situation would be so much brighter, but obviously a few surprising defeats and it will mean a really struggle to stay up.

  10. #10
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Posts
    93

    re: Will 51 Pts be enough ?

    Believe it or not only one team (Colchester) outside the play-off places has won more games than the Alex in their last ten matches!

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