Originally Posted by
andy6025
Oldpie, as I mentioned before, I tend to agree with Steve Bannon in this instance when he said:
"Until somebody solves the part of the equation that shows me that ten million people in Seoul don't die in the first 30 minutes from conventional weapons, I don't know what you're talking about, there's no military solution here, they got us"
Nor do I think it at all plausible, as I also mentioned before, that NK would spontaneously nuke Japan, South Korea, or anywhere else - I just don't see any scenario where they'd want to spontaneously commit suice by doing so.
Tarkers, your courses of action:
1) drone strike, assassination attempt and "make sure" you get him and not a double:
There is a huge risk that any attempts along these lines would result in the scenario Steve Bannon describes above. You might advocate such type of action, but I'd think it would be insane. Also, can you elaborate on how you'd "make sure" you got him and not a double?
2). Internal coup.
This amounts to letting the NKs sorting out the "problem" themselves and by and large doing nothing until they accomplish it. As I said, 'doing nothing' is the best course of action, and if you want to rephrase it as 'wait for an internal coup' then I'm ok with that.
3) crippling sanctions.
I doubt there is enough will among the international community (China and Russia, for starters) to undertake this action. As Putin said, and I agree with him, 'NK would rather eat grass than give up their nuclear program.' On the flip side, it's been a viable theory that increased trade and dependecy among states is a better deterrent of war. However, I readily accept that there probably isn't a lot of will within the international community (the US for starters) to normalize trade relations with NK.
4) Shoot down NK test missiles.
Sure, you can try, and as you said, it may not even be possible. I doubt the US wants to tip their hand and reveal an imperfect system if that's the case, but if trying convinces the hawks that 'something is being done' ti their satisfaction then I have no major objection. I doubt it would have any de-escaltion effect, nor does it stop them from developing their weapons and delivery programs, but yeah... go for it if you really want to.
So once again, other than a few relatively meaningless gestures, I see no viable option but to simply ignore them. Maybe they'll pack it all in for 8 million dollars though - just make sure you follow their instructions for the drop off point and 'unmarked bills' accurately... or else!!!
1961 might come up with a good plan though?