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Thread: Notts Match Day Bet Competition – Game 7 Swindon

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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Jun 2015
    Posts
    2,615

    Notts Match Day Bet Competition – Game 7 Swindon

    Tipster of the Month

    August 2017 …….. marshall55

    Overall Standings After 6 Games

    1 .…... Steward …………. +£14.46
    2 ….... countygump ….. +£14.00
    3 ….... Notts78 ………..… +£4.38
    4 ….... marshall55 ….…. -£4.00
    5 ….... skandark ….….…. -£6.00
    6 ….... tarquinbeech .... -£8.48
    7 ….... 60YearsAPie ..... -£16.90
    8 ....… caj85 …….……..... -£18.60
    9 .…... Kpie ……….…...... -£19.75
    10 ..… i961pie …….….... -£23.40
    11= .. everybody else . -£30.00

    Tricky one to forecast as Swindon have won all three of their away games. I’d feel more confident of a Notts win if we were playing at their place, where they’ve picked up just 1 point from three games.

    My selections:
    £3 Draw @ 13/5
    £1 Notts win 3-1 @ 14/1
    £1 Shaun Brisley to score anytime @ 12/1

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Nov 2002
    Posts
    3,643
    5.00 on a 1-1 draw

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Posts
    6,641
    £1 Jones to score@10/1

    £1 Notts to win from behind@8/1

    £1 Notts to win 3-1@14/1

    £2 over 2.5 goals@4/5

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Jan 2004
    Posts
    3,971
    £2.50 on a draw
    £2.50 on a Notts win

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Posts
    6,641
    Quote Originally Posted by magpiekev View Post
    £2.50 on a draw
    £2.50 on a Notts win
    Errrrrr....so if Notts win, you lose money?.......admittedly not as much as if you'd set fire to your "free" fiver

    Edit - Maybe I should explain, because I was a little confused when we started on week 1 as well.....YOU DON'T GET YOUR STAKE BACK WITH YOUR WINNINGS ie you automatically start each week MINUS £5.......your WINNINGS ONLY have to add up MORE than +£5 just to stay level.

    It's basically not worth it backing short odds ie sub-evens (Notts are odds-on to win).....you've then compounded the error by betting the OPPOSITE of your Notts bet ie the draw

    Hope that makes sense.
    Last edited by tarquinbeech; 10-09-2017 at 03:40 PM.

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Posts
    31,453
    £3.00 on a draw.
    £1 on a Notts win.
    £1 on a Swindon win.

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Posts
    6,641
    Quote Originally Posted by countygump View Post
    £3.00 on a draw.
    £1 on a Notts win.
    £1 on a Swindon win.
    OK, I give in....now there's another at it.....sorry Gumps, but it's a pointless combination of bets

  8. #8
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Posts
    31,453
    Quote Originally Posted by tarquinbeech View Post
    OK, I give in....now there's another at it.....sorry Gumps, but it's a pointless combination of bets

    Not for 1 second do I pretend to understand this betting lark, Tarkers.


    1 .…... Steward …………. +£14.46
    2 ….... countygump ….. +£14.00
    3 ….... Notts78 ………..… +£4.38
    4 ….... marshall55 ….…. -£4.00
    5 ….... skandark ….….…. -£6.00
    6 ….... tarquinbeech .... -£8.48
    7 ….... 60YearsAPie ..... -£16.90
    8 ....… caj85 …….……..... -£18.60
    9 .…... Kpie ……….…...... -£19.75
    10 ..… i961pie …….….... -£23.40
    11= .. everybody else . -£30.00

  9. #9
    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Posts
    6,641
    Quote Originally Posted by countygump View Post
    Not for 1 second do I pretend to understand this betting lark, Tarkers.


    1 .…... Steward …………. +£14.46
    2 ….... countygump ….. +£14.00
    3 ….... Notts78 ………..… +£4.38
    4 ….... marshall55 ….…. -£4.00
    5 ….... skandark ….….…. -£6.00
    6 ….... tarquinbeech .... -£8.48
    7 ….... 60YearsAPie ..... -£16.90
    8 ....… caj85 …….……..... -£18.60
    9 .…... Kpie ……….…...... -£19.75
    10 ..… i961pie …….….... -£23.40
    11= .. everybody else . -£30.00
    £1 on Notts LOSES you £4.05, £1 on Swindon LOSES you £1.10.....the draw gives you £5.20.....so why not use the other two £1 bets on something crazy like a 3-3 draw

    Maybe it's me?....you didn't sneak the +£14 (well done) by betting short odds AND backing AGAINST your original bet

  10. #10
    Join Date
    Jul 2009
    Posts
    4,784
    Quote Originally Posted by tarquinbeech View Post
    OK, I give in....now there's another at it.....sorry Gumps, but it's a pointless combination of bets
    Many of us who are playing this game are only doing so because it costs us nowt, if it was real money either we wouldn't bother or we would look into it more seriously, gumps strategy seems to be not to lose every week & it's working, I'm going the other way (if I win I win big) & it aint working yet!

    £5 Notts to win 3-1

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