Promotion run in - updated 10th april

[Nardendee]

Following Charlton’s defeat tonight both our and Plymouth’s play off prospects have been strengthened. Even more considering the remaining games.

Tuesday 10th April - Results
—————————————
AFC Wimbledon 1-0 CHARLTON
Gillingham 0-0 BLACKBURN
Rochdale 1-4 WIGAN

Here are the facts & figures following the above games:

UPDATED TABLE:

1. Wigan played 40 - points 86 GD + 54
2. Blackburn played 41- points 86 GD + 39
3. Shrewsbury played 40 - points 81 GD + 22
4. Rotherham played 41 - points 69 GD + 17
5. Plymouth played 40 - points 63 GD + 5
6. Charlton played 41 points 62. GD + 5
7. Portsmouth played 41 points 62 GD + 4
8. Peterboro played 41 points 61 GD + 13
9. S****horpe played 41 points 61 GD + 9

Promotion : any 2 from 3. Blackburn Shrewsbury or Wigan

Games left :

Blackburn 5 - 2 at home 3 away.
Home : PETERBORO & Oxford
Away : Gillingham, Bristol R,Doncaster & CHARLTON
——————————————————————————-
Wigan 6 - 3 at home. 3 away
Home : ROTHERHAM,Oxford,Wimbledon
Away : Fleetwood, Bristol R & Doncaster
—————————————————————
Shrewsbury 6 - 4 at home & 2 away.
Home: CHARLTON, Bury, PETERBORO & MK Dons
Away : Bradford & Blackpool
—————————————————————————
Play offs - one of the top 3 + realistically 3 from the following 6 teams:

Rotherham 5 games left - 2 home & 3 away
Home : Bristol R & Blackpool
Away : WIGAN, Gillingham & PLYMOUTH
————————————————————-
Plymouth 6 games left - 2 at home & 4 away
Home : PORTSMOUTH & ROTHERHAM
Away : S****HORPE, Northampton Rochdale
& Gillingham
———————————————————-
Charlton. 5 games left - 2 home & 3 away
Home : S****HORPE & BLACKBURN
Away: SHREWSBURY, PORTSMOUTH
& Rochdale
————————————————————————-
Portsmouth 5 games left - 2 home & 3 away
Home : CHARLTON & PETERBOROUGH
Away : PLYMOUTH, Bradford & Bury
——————————————————————-
Peterborough. 5 games left - 2 home & 3 away
Home : Rochdale & Fleetwood
Away : BLACKBURN, SHREWSBURY
& PORTSMOUTH
—————————————————————
S****horpe 5 games left- 3 at home & 2 away
Home : PLYMOUTH, Walsall & Bradford
Away : CHARLTON & MK Dons
————————————————————

Key fixtures to look out for over next 7 days involving above teams: (top 9 teams in BOLD)


Thursday 12th April
—————————-
Bradford v SHREWSBURY (live on Sky)

Saturday 14th April
—————————
Bristol Rovers v BLACKBURN
CHARLTON v S****HORPE
PETERBOROUGH v Rochdale
PLYMOUTH v PORTSMOUTH
WIGAN v ROTHERHAM

Below that are the upcoming fixtures in the next week involving those teams.
Of particular interest to us in the midweek games is Charlton's ( game in hand over us) visit to AFC Wimbledon.
Then next weekend not only do we visit Wigan, but other teams in the mix also play each other so of course they can’t both win. Given the fact that we are running out of games and three teams have to overtake us, makes the buffer we have very important. So even if we lose at Wigan next week, not everyone will close in on us. Providing we avoid heavy defeats our better goal difference could be another advantage. So whatever happens mid week / next week-end we will still be 4th . Effectively anything at Wigan is effectively a bonus or a free hit and will consolidate our position.

Here are the facts & figures:

TABLE:

1. Blackburn played 40 - points 85 GD + 39
2. Wigan played 39 - points 83 GD + 51
3. Shrewsbury played 40 - points 81 GD + 22
4. Rotherham played 41 - points 69 GD + 17
5. Plymouth played 40 - points 63 GD + 5
6. Charlton played 40 points 62. GD + 6
7. Portsmouth played 41 points 62 GD + 4
8. Peterboro played 41 points 61 GD + 13
9. S****horpe played 41 points 61 GD + 9

Promotion : any 2 from 3. Blackburn Shrewsbury or Wigan

Games left :

Blackburn 6 - 2 at home 4 away.
Home : PETERBORO & Oxford
Away : Gillingham, Bristol R,Doncaster & CHARLTON
——————————————————————————-
Wigan 7 - 3 at home. 4 away
Home : ROTHERHAM,Oxford,Wimbledon
Away : Rochdale,Fleetwood,
—————————————————————
Shrewsbury 6 - 4 at home & 2 away.
Home: CHARLTON, Bury, PETERBORO & MK Dons
Away : Bradford & Blackpool
—————————————————————————
Play offs - one of the top 3 + realistically 3 from the following 6 teams:

Rotherham 5 games left - 2 home & 3 away
Home : Bristol R & Blackpool
Away : WIGAN, Gillingham & PLYMOUTH
————————————————————-
Plymouth 6 games left - 2 at home & 4 away
Home : PORTSMOUTH & ROTHERHAM
Away : S****HORPE, Northampton Rochdale
& Gillingham
———————————————————-
Charlton. 6 games left - 2 home & 4 away
Home : S****HORPE & BLACKBURN
Away: Wimbledon, SHREWSBURY, PORTSMOUTH
& Rochdale
————————————————————————-
Portsmouth 5 games left - 2 home & 3 away
Home : CHARLTON & PETERBOROUGH
Away : PLYMOUTH, Bradford & Bury
——————————————————————-
Peterborough. 5 games left - 2 home & 3 away
Home : Rochdale & Fleetwood
Away : BLACKBURN, SHREWSBURY
& PORTSMOUTH
—————————————————————
S****horpe 5 games left- 3 at home & 2 away
Home : PLYMOUTH, Walsall & Bradford
Away : CHARLTON & MK Dons
————————————————————

Key fixtures to look out for over next 7 days involving above teams: (top 9 teams in BOLD)

Tuesday 10th April
—————————
AFC Wimbledon v CHARLTON
Gillingham v BLACKBURN
Rochdale v WIGAN

Thursday 12th April
—————————-
Bradford v SHREWSBURY (live on Sky)

Saturday 14th April
—————————
Bristol Rovers v BLACKBURN
CHARLTON v S****HORPE
PETERBOROUGH v Rochdale
PLYMOUTH v PORTSMOUTH
WIGAN v ROTHERHAM

[great_fire]

Blackpool are going gangbusters ATM.

[ragingpup]

Great work on this Nardandee! Very interesting reading. Appreciate it!

[sCORaFU]

Great stuff Narden

[Archiemiller]

Brilliant that Nardendee, ever thought about taking "Rocket Science" up.

[Nardendee]

Funny you should mention that. I used the following analysis to calculate the split second and velocity of the pass back to the Charlton goalkeeper which enabled me to plan the exact point of interception by AFCWimbledon.

Using the equal areas calculation the Cp distance from the bottom datum is located at 154.9 mm.

“By Parts” is the second method of calculating the Cp. Cp by parts utilizes the location of the center of mass for each part noted by y-bar measured from the bottom datum. The y-bar for each part is then multiplied by the the projected area of each part (Ap). The total area (At) divides the summation of the y-bar and Ap, giving the solution Y-Bar.

Y-bar = (Sum(y-bar*Ap))/At

Note that the area of the fin is multiplied by 2 to account for both stabilizers.

[brassgnat]

Unless we beat Wigan and Gillingham, I have been assuming the top 3 have been un catch able for a while, and hope they beat the others around the play off places when they play them.

[Archiemiller]

Funny you should mention that. I used the following analysis to calculate the split second and velocity of the pass back to the Charlton goalkeeper which enabled me to plan the exact point of interception by AFCWimbledon.

Using the equal areas calculation the Cp distance from the bottom datum is located at 154.9 mm.

“By Parts” is the second method of calculating the Cp. Cp by parts utilizes the location of the center of mass for each part noted by y-bar measured from the bottom datum. The y-bar for each part is then multiplied by the the projected area of each part (Ap). The total area (At) divides the summation of the y-bar and Ap, giving the solution Y-Bar.

Y-bar = (Sum(y-bar*Ap))/At

Note that the area of the fin is multiplied by 2 to account for both stabilizers.

That sounds more complicated than VAR.

[brassgnat]

I have been assuming the top 3 have been un catch able for a while, and hope they beat the others around the play off places when they play them.

[Archiemiller]

Unless we beat Wigan and Gillingham, I have been assuming the top 3 have been un catch able for a while, and hope they beat the others around the play off places when they play them.

Brassy, if we cant win our home games we dont deserve to be in the play-offs.