Updated table & Permutations after Blackburn v Peterborough

[Nardendee]

Thursday 19th April - RESULT
——————————————
BLACKBURN 3-1 PETERBOROUGH

UPDATED TABLE:
1. Wigan played 42 points 90 GD + 55
2. Blackburn played 43 points 90 GD + 41
3. Shrewsbury played 42 points 82 GD + 20
4. Rotherham played 43. points 73 GD + 18
5. Charlton played 43 points 65 GD + 6
6. S****horpe played 42 points 64 GD + 10
7. Plymouth played 41 - points 64 GD + 5
8. Portsmouth played 43 points 63 GD + 2
9. Peterboro played 42 points 61 GD + 10


Promotion : any 2 from 3. Wigan, Blackburn or Shrewsbury

GAMES LEFT - TOP 3
——————————-
Wigan 4 games left - 1 at home. 3 away
Home : Wimbledon
Away : Fleetwood, Bristol R & Doncaster
Current points 90. Max 102
———————————————————-
Blackburn 3 games left - 1 at home 2 away.
Home : Oxford
Away : Doncaster & CHARLTON
Current Points 90. Max 99
—————————————————————
Shrewsbury 4 games left - 3 at home & 1 away.
Home: Bury, PETERBORO & MK Dons
Away : Blackpool
Current points 82. Max 94
—————————————————————
Play offs - one of the top 3 + realistically 3 from the following 6 teams:

GAMES LEFT- CHASING PACK
——————————————

Rotherham 3 games left - 2 home & 1 away
Home : Bristol R & Blackpool
Away : PLYMOUTH
Current Points 73. Max 82
————————————————————-
Charlton. 3 games left - 1 home & 2 away
Home : BLACKBURN
Away: PORTSMOUTH & Rochdale
Current Points 65. Max 74
———————————————————-
S****horpe 4 games left- 3 at home & 1 away
Home : Walsall, PLYMOUTH & Bradford
Away : MK Dons
Current Points 64.. Max 76.
—————————————————————
Plymouth games left - 1 at home & 4 away
Home : ROTHERHAM
Away : Northampton, S****HORPE,Rochdale
& Gillingham
Current Points 64. Max 79
———————————————————-
Portsmouth 3 games left - 2 home & 1 away
Home : CHARLTON & PETERBOROUGH
Away : Bury
Current Points 63. Max 72
—————————————————————
Peterborough. 3 games left - 1 home & 2 away
Home : Fleetwood
Away : SHREWSBURY & PORTSMOUTH
Current Points 61. Max 70
—————————————————————

Key fixtures to look out for over next 7 days involving above teams: (top 9 teams in BOLD) are:

Saturday 21st April
—————————
Fleetwood v WIGAN
Northampton v PLYMOUTH
PORTSMOUTH v CHARLTON
ROTHERHAM v Bristol Rovers
S****HORPE v Walsall
SHREWSBURY v Bury

Tuesday 24th April
—————————
Bristol Rovers v WIGAN
Doncaster v BLACKBURN
Rochdale v PLYMOUTH
SHREWSBURY v PETERBOROUGH

What does this mean for us :

PORTSMOUTH & PETERBOROUGH can no longer catch us.

Charlton can only get 1 more point than we have now.
Plymouth can get 6 points more than we have now
S****horpe can get 3 more points than we have now.

However :
Charlton still have to play Blackburn at home and Portsmouth away.

Plymouth still have to play us at Home Park and also visit S****horpe

S****horpe are at home to Plymouth.

This does not include the other banana skin games.
Charlton’s other game is at Rochdale, who are fighting for their lives so hardly a gimme.

Plymouth still have (in addition to our visit) have to visit Rochdale & this Saturday visit Northampton who are in last chance saloon.

S****horpe on paper have the easiest run in but two of their other games are against teams with something to play for.
At home to Walsall and away at MK Dons.

In summary we need 3 points to be sure but in reality 1 point should be enough, bearing in mind we have a 12 goal difference advantage so save for a major swing in the last 3 games.

Of course we might not need another point if Charlton don’t win at Portsmouth at the weekend.

If this happens we will travel to Plymouth on Saturday week having already qualified.

[Pattylallacks2]

Could you just run through that again?

[Silly-miller]

One small problem

Peterborough have played 43 not 42

[PokerMillersSwinton]

One small problem

Peterborough have played 43 not 42

A point we be enough 4 th place is ENOUGH though we need to win to keep momentum . Cannot see Plymouth beating S****horpe away or Charlton beating Blackburn either . With Scunny 3 homes game that's a big advantage for them . Set s up a local play off match and getting up at silly Oclock to get a ticket again .

[Brin]

Nardendee great work well done must have taken some time to compile the original table etc.

[rolymiller]

Mathematically we still need 2 points pokers. Yes we have a better goal difference but if we were to lose our last 3 games and Charlton were to win their last 3 as they would have to that would soon be eroded. Admittedly though it would be a big ask for Charlton to do that. Every team they are playing all have summer to play for and are no mugs.

[Ericsladkilnhurst]

Like I said on another post the big game this weekend is Portsmouth against Charlton,it should be a right scrap.

[wrinkly]

Mathematically we still need 2 points pokers. Yes we have a better goal difference but if we were to lose our last 3 games and Charlton were to win their last 3 as they would have to that would soon be eroded. Admittedly though it would be a big ask for Charlton to do that. Every team they are playing all have summer to play for and are no mugs.

Yep 2 points for certain playoffs. Not 1 as PMS says or 3 as Nardendee states

[Nardendee]

The only reason I mentioned 1 point is the goals difference. I do accept that in the strictest sense we are not there with 1 point but as good as.
Believe you me I am not counting my chickens. After 1973 (I posted a while back how we snatched relegation from the jaws of safety) it’s not over until it’s over.

[sota]

Fascinating stuff Mr Dee, all very much appreciated.