Odds 18-19

[matt5cott]

Dennis benched again, similar story to last week then, if he gets no goals the price will drift, currently 12/1 best price.

Forte again starts for Exeter, despite scoring last week he's available at 70/1 via paddypower.

Following last weeks draw Notts' best price for the league title drifted out to 8/1 at one bookmaker I've never heard of, 7/1 at most others.

[matt5cott]

Dennis starts, the odds are now 14/1 for TGS, I've put a few quid on but the odds will drift if he fails to find the net tonight.

10/1 is current best odds for the title at betvictor (pretty much everywhere else is 9/1 or 8/1), anything but 3 points tonight and this will drift even further, likely beyond the "best" previous price of 12/1.

[Elite_Pie]

The odds after yesterday's games still suggest we'll have a better season than many on here think:

Champions - 14/1
Promoted - 3/1
Top 7 finish - 5/4
Top half finish - 4/9
Bottom half finish - 7/4
Relegation - 40/1 (Only Coral offer 40/1, the rest are 33/1 at best)

Unfortunately, I think the only odds that offer value are the bottom half finish and relegation.

[matt5cott]

Prior to what is likely to be an absolute shoeing at Lincoln the odds are 20/1 for the title and 4/1 for promotion, if said shoeing occurs the odds will drift further.

You can get 16/1 for Dennis (who starts again today) TGS at paddypower, which is a little odd as he scored, and is 14/1 still everywhere else.

The doom and gloom/realistic form odds as noted by elite are bottom half finish 3/2, relegation 33/1.


As a side note there has been and continues to be a lot of value on goals in the matches, with Notts being a "glass cannon" Bets on high scoring matches/halves are paying out quite well at the moment, though now I've said that it'll probably be a bore draw.

[matt5cott]

After being predictably mauled yesterday Notts have now dropped to 50/1 at betvictor for the title (~25/1 everywhere else) I've never seen anything like this before, 6/1 favourites to rank outsiders in 3 weeks, astonishing, only Notts eh.

As I type "only Notts eh" The flip side is of course possible with so many games left, they could still technically win it and we could all be looking back thinking "oh no why didn't I lump on at 50/1!"


Thinking about it more the 50/1 does represent an interesting bet IMO, yes Notts have looked dreadful in defence but they are scoring, I've referred to them above as "glass cannons" If you fancy Notts to get a decent new manager in and recruit well in the loan market this week there are 41 games left to impact on, of course I'm not telling you to bet, it's after-all 50/1 for a reason!


Edit- now dropped to 28/1 at betvictor, own up, who lumped on!?

[matt5cott]

Betvictor have next manager odds up,

Harry Kewell 3/1
Gary Bowyer 4/1
Darren Ferguson 6/1
Keith Curle 6/1
Steve Chettle 8/1
Simon Grayson 12/1
Steve Cotterill 12/1
Paul Heckingbottom 14/1
Michael Appleton 14/1
Ian Holloway 14/1
Mick McCarthy 14/1
Keith Hill 16/1
Stuart McCall 16/1
John Hughes 16/1
Mark Crossley 16/1
David Hopkin 16/1
Phil Brown 16/1
Owen Coyle 20/1
Mark Warburton 20/1
Dave Jones 25/1
Robbie Neilson 25/1
Russell Slade 25/1
Robbie Stockdale 25/1
Paul Scholes 25/1
Paul Ince 25/1
Lee Clark 25/1
Gary Johnson 25/1
Gary Caldwell 25/1
Dougie Freedman 25/1
Dean Saunders 25/1
Craig Shakespeare 25/1
Brian McDermott 25/1
Billy Davies 25/1


edit - Harry Kewell is now even money, so someone somewhere is lumping on him, these are the odds 10 minutes after the post above!

Harry Kewell 1/1
Gary Bowyer 8/1
Steve Chettle 8/1
Darren Ferguson 10/1
Keith Curle 10/1
Simon Grayson 14/1
Steve Cotterill 16/1
Paul Heckingbottom 16/1
Michael Appleton 20/1
Ian Holloway 20/1
Mick McCarthy 20/1
Keith Hill 20/1
Stuart McCall 20/1
John Hughes 20/1
Mark Crossley 20/1
David Hopkin 20/1
Phil Brown 20/1
Owen Coyle 20/1
Mark Warburton 20/1
Dave Jones 25/1
Robbie Neilson 25/1
Russell Slade 25/1
Robbie Stockdale 25/1
Paul Scholes 25/1
Paul Ince 25/1
Lee Clark 25/1
Gary Johnson 25/1
Gary Caldwell 25/1
Dougie Freedman 25/1
Dean Saunders 25/1
Craig Shakespeare 25/1
Brian McDermott 25/1
Billy Davies 25/1

[marky]

Why is Harry Kewell the favourite, what had he achieved exactly.

[pravda_plc]

Why is Harry Kewell the favourite, what had he achieved exactly.

It's all about bets placed.

If I was stupid enough to lump £5 on Jamie Fullarton, he would probably go to favourite...

[Elite_Pie]

Kewell 6/4 favourite with Skybet:

https://m.skybet.com/football/manage...event/22712449

[drillerpie]

Why is Harry Kewell the favourite, what had he achieved exactly.

He fits the peofile of young manager on the up, plays ***y football on the deck and managed Boldewijn last season.

I personally don't think that's the kind of manager to get us promotion but makes sense for him to be short odds.