I'm OK with us being influenced by a possible QF v Sweden/Switzerland and increasing our chances of reaching the semis overall.
I agree with BFP that Belgium can beat Brazil but I don't think we could get past them.
Columbia will be a tough game and I'd make them slight favourites.
Nobody should EXPECT England to beat Columbia (about the same population of England but 10 times the size). They were Quarter-finalists in 2014 and I've been watching them in qualifying - they've got flair up front, but it's their really tough backline that stands out for me.
Southgate's England are better than we thought they'd be, James Rodrigues looks crocked and maybe VAR will help us if their defenders get too physical with us from set-pieces. We've got a good chance of a QF v Sweden/Swiss and I'd put it at 52/48 them and we know it's possible to overturn something like that