Originally Posted by
CTMilller
On the balance of the evidence, I think we will survive.
Rather than thinking about the number of games we might win or draw to secure our place for 2019/20, I prefer to think in terms of simply having to continue to play as well as or better than three of the four clubs bellow us for the rest of the season. If any of the five or so clubs above us play worse than we do in this period, there is also a chance they will fall below us and further reduce the likelihood of us being one of those that drop out.
Based on how well we have played so far, there is a pretty good chance of us escaping the drop. Other than Brentford, nobody has beaten us easily. We are consistently within a goal of a win. Other than perhaps the Swansea match, there is no evidence that we are 'lucky to be where we are' and that our 'luck might run out'. If anything we've been 'unlucky' not to have pulled more wins from the drawn games.