Reply With QuoteAs I suspected, overly optimistic.Originally Posted by ncfcog
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We have dropped two points today off my intitial target of how to get to 47 points as Old Pies requirements. However Port Vale who are in 22nd are on course to finish on 45 points as it stands.
It’s not over by a long shot, but we can only really afford to lose three more games. It means the two defeats I’d allowed away at Crawley and Swindon now need to become draws due to the two points dropped today.
So here are my revised targets we need to aim for.
Cheltenham (A) Win - 32 Pts
Carlisle (A) Lose - 32 Pts
Morecombe (H) Win - 35 Pts
Exeter (H) - Lose 35 Pts
Stevenage (A) Draw 36 Pts
Northampton (H) Win - 39 Pts
Crewe (A) Win - 42 Pts
MK Dons (H) Lose - 42 Pts
Crawley (A) - Draw - 43 Pts
Grimsby (H) - Win 46 Pts
Swindon (A) - Draw - 47 Pts
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As I suspected, overly optimistic.
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When I started this it was in a moment of optimism. Now all it is doing is confirming our fate. Sorry Mr Swale but the ball has to be kicked towards the goal and we don't seem to be able to do that.
Date Games Left Requirement Pts/Game Target 31/01/19 17 47 1.53 Morecambe 02/02/19 16 47 1.56 Morecambe 12/02/19 15 46 1.40 Morecambe 16/02/19 14 44 1.14 Yeovil 19/02/19 13 44 1.23 Yeovil 23/02/19 12 47 1.58 Port Vale 02/03/19 11 47 1.64 Port Vale 09/03/19 10 47 1.80 Yeovil
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Same here. Just looking back even a week or two at this thread as to how optimistic I was. However after watching the game today has meant I now believe our 157 years in the football league seems to be heading for its conclusion.
We have won 6 leagues games all season and have had two good weeks. The week under Kewell where we won three in a row and the week under Ardley where we drew to Lincoln beat Mansfield and FGR.
Just for the sake of it here are my revised targets we need to aim for. We now need to win most of our remaining home games and can only really afford two more defeats following today with 6 wins being required. It’s effectively promotion form. A miracle that is what it would need to be.
P10, W6, D2, L2, Pts 20
Carlisle (A) Lose - 29 Pts
Morecombe (H) Win - 32 Pts
Exeter (H) - Win 35 Pts
Stevenage (A) Draw 36 Pts
Northampton (H) Win - 39 Pts
Crewe (A) Win - 42 Pts
MK Dons (H) Lose - 42 Pts
Crawley (A) - Win - 43 Pts
Grimsby (H) - Win 46 Pts
Swindon (A) - Draw - 47 Pts
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Unfortunately, I think the honest answer to the thread title is 'more than this sack of shyte is capable of'.
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The problem is not the points gap as much as the shambolic performances. Conceded 4 to Newport, conceded 4 today, should've comceded 4 last week.
If we were this far behind and playing well and on a good run of results I'd feel confident.
By the same token if we were 3 points clear of relegation and playing like this I'd still say we were going down.
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60% win rate?
I just don't see that.
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Forget it. Port Vale tipped the balance last week, Cheltenham chucked a ton of earth on top of the coffin.
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You are absolutely spot on. The performances of the new team against Lincoln, Mansfield and Forest Green Rovers were excellent and really gave hope and optimism that we could get out of this sorry mess.
The Newport game was also a turning point as it was either going to be a blip or a slump back to our old ways. Having now played Port Vale and Cheltenham we are back in a slump.
From what I saw yesterday the performances are just not there neither is the fight the spark or belief. It’s just far to easy for the opposition, we struggle to win 50/50’s and we are not playing effective football.
The Newport game appears to have killed the confidence of this new side and at the minute it’s looking like they will struggle to come back from it baring a footballing miracle.
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Hahahaha!! so a team that has won only 3 in the last 19 suddenly win 6 in 10
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