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Thread: Points required update thread

  1. #71
    Join Date
    Feb 2010
    Posts
    7,758
    We just don't seem to want to lift ourselves out of this!

    Marginally easier after today but also somewhat dependent on what Macclesfield do with their game in hand.

    Date Games Left Requirement Pts/Game Target
    31/01/19 17 47 1.53 Morecambe
    02/02/19 16 47 1.56 Morecambe
    12/02/19 15 46 1.40 Morecambe
    16/02/19 14 44 1.14 Yeovil
    19/02/19 13 44 1.23 Yeovil
    23/02/19 12 47 1.58 Port Vale
    02/03/19 11 47 1.64 Port Vale
    09/03/19 10 48 1.90 Yeovil
    12/03/19 9 47 1.67 Yeovil
    16/03/19 8 46 1.63 Yeovil

  2. #72
    Join Date
    Jun 2016
    Posts
    4,323
    Ffs - give it up

  3. #73
    Join Date
    Feb 2010
    Posts
    7,758
    Quote Originally Posted by BanjoPie View Post
    Ffs - give it up
    After all the trouble I've been through to prepare a spreadsheet and HTML tables!!

    I'll stop when Pts/Game > 3

  4. #74
    Join Date
    Jun 2016
    Posts
    4,323
    Quote Originally Posted by Old_pie View Post
    After all the trouble I've been through to prepare a spreadsheet and HTML tables!!

    I'll stop when Pts/Game > 3
    May have been more productive preparing a spreadsheet for the Conference table!!

  5. #75
    Join Date
    Feb 2010
    Posts
    7,758
    Quote Originally Posted by BanjoPie View Post
    May have been more productive preparing a spreadsheet for the Conference table!!
    My spreadsheet doesn't go as low as that.

  6. #76
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Posts
    5,927
    Quote Originally Posted by BanjoPie View Post
    May have been more productive preparing a spreadsheet for the Conference table!!
    That's the spirit. Dick.

  7. #77
    Join Date
    Feb 2002
    Posts
    6,408
    Well another twist in my prediction again today by drawing with Morecambe. So another revision.

    The points required to stay up has now dropped due to Yeovil losing today. Their current points per game ratio throughout the season is 0.95 so that means they are on course to finish on 44 points. So we would need a minimum of 45 to survive right now.

    Our post Jan team are bang on mid table form and are averaging 1.33 points per game. On this basis we are on course to finish on 44 points.

    So if things stay as they are it’s going to the wire.

    We can only really afford two more defeats and could scrape survival with three more wins, but ideally need four wins.

    P8, W3, D3, L2, Pts 12

    Exeter (H) - Lose 33 Pts
    Stevenage (A) Draw 34 Pts
    Northampton (H) Win - 37 Pts
    Crewe (A) Win - 40 Pts
    MK Dons (H) Lose - 40 Pts
    Crawley (A) Draw - 41 Pts
    Grimsby (H) Win - 44 Pts
    Swindon (A) Draw - 45 Pts

  8. #78
    Join Date
    Jan 2009
    Posts
    3,869
    Quote Originally Posted by MAD_MAGPIE View Post
    Well another twist in my prediction again today by drawing with Morecambe. So another revision.

    The points required to stay up has now dropped due to Yeovil losing today. Their current points per game ratio throughout the season is 0.95 so that means they are on course to finish on 44 points. So we would need a minimum of 45 to survive right now.

    Our post Jan team are bang on mid table form and are averaging 1.33 points per game. On this basis we are on course to finish on 44 points.

    So if things stay as they are it’s going to the wire.

    We can only really afford two more defeats and could scrape survival with three more wins, but ideally need four wins.

    P8, W3, D3, L2, Pts 12

    Exeter (H) - Lose 33 Pts
    Stevenage (A) Draw 34 Pts
    Northampton (H) Win - 37 Pts
    Crewe (A) Win - 40 Pts
    MK Dons (H) Lose - 40 Pts
    Crawley (A) Draw - 41 Pts
    Grimsby (H) Win - 44 Pts
    Swindon (A) Draw - 45 Pts
    Yeovil points per game over the season is probably not the best measure. They've only won 3 in 27 games after a decent start to the season. Imo they are there for the taking, but are we good enough to capitalise?

  9. #79
    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Posts
    11,039
    Quote Originally Posted by MAD_MAGPIE View Post
    Well another twist in my prediction again today by drawing with Morecambe. So another revision.

    The points required to stay up has now dropped due to Yeovil losing today. Their current points per game ratio throughout the season is 0.95 so that means they are on course to finish on 44 points. So we would need a minimum of 45 to survive right now.

    Our post Jan team are bang on mid table form and are averaging 1.33 points per game. On this basis we are on course to finish on 44 points.

    So if things stay as they are it’s going to the wire.

    We can only really afford two more defeats and could scrape survival with three more wins, but ideally need four wins.

    P8, W3, D3, L2, Pts 12

    Exeter (H) - Lose 33 Pts
    Stevenage (A) Draw 34 Pts
    Northampton (H) Win - 37 Pts
    Crewe (A) Win - 40 Pts
    MK Dons (H) Lose - 40 Pts
    Crawley (A) Draw - 41 Pts
    Grimsby (H) Win - 44 Pts
    Swindon (A) Draw - 45 Pts
    So you think we will only lose 2 of our last 8 games and win 3 when we have only won 7 of our previous 38?

  10. #80
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Posts
    31,453
    Quote Originally Posted by i961pie View Post
    So you think we will only lose 2 of our last 8 games and win 3 when we have only won 7 of our previous 38?
    During the last 10 or so games, when you are fighting for survival. Form goes out the window. Some, strange results are thrown up every season.

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