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Thread: National League betting 2019/20

  1. #1
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    National League betting 2019/20

    At last a couple of bookies are offering National League relegation odds for next season and Notts look great value at 25/1 to go down again. There are four relegation places in this league, and considering the shambles we have become at the moment that looks way overpriced to me. I have had a few quid on with an eye on the cashout option, because unless we are up near the top after the first few games those odds will soon tumble.

    Plus, if we did go into administration and were hit with a points deduction you would be guaranteed a profit before a ball has been kicked.

    https://www.oddschecker.com/football...gue/relegation

  2. #2
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    Quote Originally Posted by Elite_Pie View Post
    At last a couple of bookies are offering National League relegation odds for next season and Notts look great value at 25/1 to go down again. There are four relegation places in this league, and considering the shambles we have become at the moment that looks way overpriced to me. I have had a few quid on with an eye on the cashout option, because unless we are up near the top after the first few games those odds will soon tumble.

    Plus, if we did go into administration and were hit with a points deduction you would be guaranteed a profit before a ball has been kicked.

    https://www.oddschecker.com/football...gue/relegation
    Aren't the bets void if a club goes into admin?

  3. #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chicken Balti Pie View Post
    Aren't the bets void if a club goes into admin?
    I'm not certain, but I don't think so. The bookies should take the possibility of it happening into account when forming the market. It's a bit like an ante-post horse bet where the favourite gets a sudden injury and all other prices shorten, but seeing as you got on before it happened the longer odds would stand. I'll have to see if I can find out for sure.

  4. #4
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    Despite the odds and as our club is at the moment. Even with our squad. I could never puty money on a relegation. I think best money would be a promotion from playoffs

  5. #5
    got to be worth 20 pence each way ..x

  6. #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by Elite_Pie View Post
    At last a couple of bookies are offering National League relegation odds for next season and Notts look great value at 25/1 to go down again. There are four relegation places in this league, and considering the shambles we have become at the moment that looks way overpriced to me. I have had a few quid on with an eye on the cashout option, because unless we are up near the top after the first few games those odds will soon tumble.

    Plus, if we did go into administration and were hit with a points deduction you would be guaranteed a profit before a ball has been kicked.

    https://www.oddschecker.com/football...gue/relegation
    Agreed, they look tempting. I think if we go into admin and get a points deduction, we'll almost certainly be relegated - and admin is a distinct possibility. Even if we don't go into admin, we are highly likely to struggle with only a couple of weeks to get recruitment sorted.

  7. #7
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    Yes, there will be only a short time before the season starts but transfer windows donít apply in the National League. For instance, Matt Green (now at Grimsby) left Lincoln and played for Salford in December last year before the window opened.

  8. #8
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    Quote Originally Posted by Elite_Pie View Post
    I'm not certain, but I don't think so. The bookies should take the possibility of it happening into account when forming the market. It's a bit like an ante-post horse bet where the favourite gets a sudden injury and all other prices shorten, but seeing as you got on before it happened the longer odds would stand. I'll have to see if I can find out for sure.

    Paddy Power rules
    if a points deduction is imposed on a team such that it finishes the season within the relegation places which are relevant to the applicable league, bets on that team to be relegated will be settled as winning bets

  9. #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by Biker9999 View Post
    Paddy Power rules
    if a points deduction is imposed on a team such that it finishes the season within the relegation places which are relevant to the applicable league, bets on that team to be relegated will be settled as winning bets
    Thanks for that. Anyone who thinks we will end up in administration should lump on, because the 25/1 will drop dramatically.

  10. #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by Elite_Pie View Post
    Thanks for that. Anyone who thinks we will end up in administration should lump on, because the 25/1 will drop dramatically.
    I assume though, that if we are liquidated we lose our club and our money?

  11. #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1955pie View Post
    I assume though, that if we are liquidated we lose our club and our money?
    Yes, I think that would be the case.

  12. #12
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    Quote Originally Posted by Elite_Pie View Post
    Thanks for that. Anyone who thinks we will end up in administration should lump on, because the 25/1 will drop dramatically.
    Isn't that a bit like looting from dead bodies, Elite?

  13. #13
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    Quote Originally Posted by sidders View Post
    Isn't that a bit like looting from dead bodies, Elite?
    Not really, because whatever will happen will still happen regardless of whether or not you place a bet on it. Try to think of it like taking out a life insurance policy. You don't want to die, but if you do a good few quid will be made from a sad situation.

  14. #14
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    Paddy Power seemed to be the only option, at 25/1. I use the past tense because they seem to have pulled it. According to Oddschecker "Notts to be relegated at 25/1" was far and away the most popular bet, and that's obviously triggered a reaction. My guess is that when the option reappears, the odds won't be anything like 25/1.

  15. #15
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    Quote Originally Posted by 51Magpie View Post
    Paddy Power seemed to be the only option, at 25/1. I use the past tense because they seem to have pulled it. According to Oddschecker "Notts to be relegated at 25/1" was far and away the most popular bet, and that's obviously triggered a reaction. My guess is that when the option reappears, the odds won't be anything like 25/1.
    What's the old proverb, the early bird catches the worm?

    This is only a small market, so any decent sized bets will ring the alarm bells at the bookies.

  16. #16
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    I’m putting £25 on Notts to get promoted back to L2 - now, what was that story about the rats leaving a sinking ship?

  17. #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by BanjoPie View Post
    I’m putting £25 on Notts to get promoted back to L2 - now, what was that story about the rats leaving a sinking ship?
    im now picturing you tearing up your betting slip and season ticket and throwing them together at the dugout in october

  18. #18
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    Quote Originally Posted by Elite_Pie View Post
    At last a couple of bookies are offering National League relegation odds for next season and Notts look great value at 25/1 to go down again. There are four relegation places in this league, and considering the shambles we have become at the moment that looks way overpriced to me. I have had a few quid on with an eye on the cashout option, because unless we are up near the top after the first few games those odds will soon tumble.

    Plus, if we did go into administration and were hit with a points deduction you would be guaranteed a profit before a ball has been kicked.

    https://www.oddschecker.com/football...gue/relegation

    You’ve actually put money on Notts going down ?

  19. #19
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    Quote Originally Posted by snipe_pie View Post
    You’ve actually put money on Notts going down ?
    Sad bunch aren’t they !!

  20. #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by snipe_pie View Post
    Youíve actually put money on Notts going down ?
    Yes.

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