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Thread: 📈Form Table Thread

  1. #21
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    Feb 2010
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    Quote Originally Posted by SwalePie View Post
    Great work to give us a simple visual to monitor. Thanks for the effort!
    No worries, I know it doesn't interest everyone but I think it will be interesting to see how things develop, very much like Old_pies thread from last season, just need to see the black line closer to the green line asap!

  2. #22

    Now know what we need to do

    Quote Originally Posted by ncfcog View Post
    Ok, so having a quick look over the last 5 seasons anything between 45 and 50 points gets you fourth from bottom, we need to finish fifth from bottom to be safe so I have based the following on assuming 50 pts needed for safety.

    That's a PPG average of 1.09 over the season and a PPG average needed from now of 1.08.

    Attachment 13859
    Thanks for that really interesting and worrying

  3. #23
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    Quote Originally Posted by upthemaggies View Post
    So 64 points needed from 36 games.
    Possible combinations.....

    W21 D1 L14
    W20 D4 L12
    W19 D7 L10
    W18 D10 L8
    W17 D13 L6
    W16 D16 L4
    W15 D19 L2
    W14 D22 L0

    We seem to be draw specialists under Ardley, but you can't see us losing less than 8. Winning 18 and drawing 10 is probably our best hope, barely realistic and will only look harder with every game we don't win.
    It certainly seems quite the challenge!

  4. #24
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    Quote Originally Posted by ncfcog View Post
    It certainly seems quite the challenge!
    I thought at the start of the season that we would finish in mid-table, and I still do. Whether that's just above or just below might come down to the bounce of a ball or our good or bad fortune with injuries, but I don't think we will be in serious contention for promotion or relegation. If we finish below 15th then I would be disappointed. If we finish in the play-offs I would be amazed.

    Next season, however, we must be serious contenders for at least the play-offs and possibly the title, otherwise whoever is in charge would have few excuses.
    Last edited by jackal2; 09-09-2019 at 03:51 PM.

  5. #25
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    Feb 2010
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    Halifax preview:

    Town come to The Lane on Saturday currently 3rd in the NL form table with defeat at home to Yeovil last week knocking them off joint top with Woking and Bromley, this defeat coming on the back of a 5 game unbeaten run which included 4 wins with 12 goals scored and 6 conceded.

    Notts go into the game with just one defeat in the last 6, coincidentally to Yeovil, and will hope the new found comerarderie within the club will start to have a positive affect on the pitch, in a game that is likely to be another close encounter for the Pies.


    Current best odds (oddschecker.com):

    Notts win 6/5 with 888sport | Halifax win 12/5 with Bet Victor | Draw 13/5 with Bet365 and BetFred

  6. #26
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    Dec 2009
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    Quote Originally Posted by ncfcog View Post
    Ok, so having a quick look over the last 5 seasons anything between 45 and 50 points gets you fourth from bottom, we need to finish fifth from bottom to be safe so I have based the following on assuming 50 pts needed for safety.

    That's a PPG average of 1.09 over the season and a PPG average needed from now of 1.08.

    Attachment 13859
    Great visual......basically too many draws and the odd loss are keeping us pinned on the "red for relegation line" and just eyeballing the gap to the "green for go to the play-offs", we currently need at least 2 back-to-back wins....mmmm, when was the last time we achieved that?

    If we are still stuck on the red line in mid-season, then we would look like needing 4 or even 5 back-to-back wins to bridge the gap, very unlikely, and we will end up in a dog-fight at the bottom continually looking over our shoulder.

    Quite simply, we need to kick into some kind of motion pretty pronto......sounds easy huh?

  7. #27
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    Feb 2010
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    I'm updating this before I lose myself in this lovely bottle of St Remy XO!

    Notts npw up to 7th in the form table with 9 points from the last 6 games and a GD of +3. Yeovil now top the form table with 12 points following 3 wins on the bounce, which as we know started with a victory over Notts.

    As for the points required for the ploy-off's or avoiding the drop the chart looks a little better this evening. Ardley's PPG for this season is now 1.27.

    Name:  points_needed_match11.JPG
Views: 2178
Size:  84.4 KB

    Right back to the celebrating, we haven't been able to do it much of late so I'm going to make the most of it!

  8. #28
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    Jun 2015
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    First time I've noticed this chart. Good work, og. It's simple but effective. I'll be keeping my eye on this thread throughout the season.

    Dip below the red line and we're in trouble. Get above the green line and a trip to Wembley could be on the cards.

  9. #29
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    Feb 2010
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    Quote Originally Posted by 60YearsAPie View Post
    First time I've noticed this chart. Good work, og. It's simple but effective. I'll be keeping my eye on this thread throughout the season.

    Dip below the red line and we're in trouble. Get above the green line and a trip to Wembley could be on the cards.
    Thanks

  10. #30
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    Quote Originally Posted by 60YearsAPie View Post
    First time I've noticed this chart. Good work, og. It's simple but effective. I'll be keeping my eye on this thread throughout the season.

    Dip below the red line and we're in trouble. Get above the green line and a trip to Wembley could be on the cards.
    Agreed, I love charts like this and as you say it's simple but effective. A few years ago in my running days I set myself a target of running 1,000 kilometres in a year. That would be modest to a serious runner, but I was a casual runner trying to fit it around work and family commitments. I created a similar graph and it proved to be a huge incentive, even though it only consisted of target kms v actual kms. If I dropped below the target line, it made me determined to get off my arse just so the line didn't beat me.

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