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Thread: Wolves' & Continental Challengers' Remaining Fixtures

  1. #1
    Join Date
    May 2011
    Posts
    7,926

    Wolves' & Continental Challengers' Remaining Fixtures

    Wolves have 9 fixtures left on the schedule. Currently in 7th, two points ahead of Spurs (though Spurs have two matches in hand) and two points behind West Ham, four behind Manchester United and five behind Arsenal (who have three matches in hand). Champions League is probably out of the question. So we are looking at possibilities of finishing as high as 5th and as low as 8th (12 points clear of 9th place Villa who have a match in hand).

    Wolves remaining schedule consists of - opponent (current position in table):
    Leeds (16th)
    Villa (9th)
    @Newcastle (14th)
    Man City (1st)
    @Burnley (19th)
    Brighton (13th)
    @Chelsea (3rd)
    Norwich (20th)
    @Liverpool (2nd)

    Man U:
    Leicester (12th)
    @Everton (17th)
    Norwich (20th)
    @Arsenal (4th)
    Brentford (15th)
    @Brighton (13th)
    Chelsea (3rd)
    @Palace (11th)
    To be rescheduled @Liverpool (2nd)
    Also dealing with Champions League

    West Ham:
    @Tottenham (8th)
    Everton (17th)
    @Brentford (15th)
    @Chelsea (3rd)
    Arsenal (4th)
    Norwich (20th)
    Man City (1st)
    @Brighton (13th)
    Also dealing with Europa League

    Tottenham:
    @Brighton (13th)
    West Ham (6th)
    Newcastle (14th)
    Aston Villa (9th)
    Brighton (13th)
    @Brentford (15th)
    Leicester (12th)
    @Liverpool (2nd)
    Burnley (19th)
    @Norwich (20th)

    I think Wolves have the toughest remaining schedule because they play the top three, and two of them on the road. Those are half of our last six matches. So this next stretch before our final six is very important. We want to have points in hand and not chasing points down the stretch because it wouldn't be outrageous to see Wolves get 0 points from the Liverpool, Chelsea, and Man City matches.
    Must wins - @Burnley, Norwich
    Should win - Brighton, Leeds
    Swing match - Villa, @Newcastle
    Hope for a point - Man City, @Chelsea, @Liverpool

    In the last five seasons, 5th place has had as low as 62 points and as high as 71. But usually in the high 60s. But I think the mid 60s may be the number for this year. Can Wolves get 18 points from the final 27? It's a big ask, but that might be what it takes to get a Europa League spot this season.

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Dec 2021
    Posts
    274
    An interesting fact is that there are only 4 potential teams that we haven't/will not take points off this season.

    Palace and Arsenal definitely, Liverpool and Man City still to come....

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Jun 2011
    Posts
    1,773
    Quote Originally Posted by MichiganWolf View Post
    Wolves have 9 fixtures left on the schedule. Currently in 7th, two points ahead of Spurs (though Spurs have two matches in hand) and two points behind West Ham, four behind Manchester United and five behind Arsenal (who have three matches in hand). Champions League is probably out of the question. So we are looking at possibilities of finishing as high as 5th and as low as 8th (12 points clear of 9th place Villa who have a match in hand).

    Wolves remaining schedule consists of - opponent (current position in table):
    Leeds (16th)
    Villa (9th)
    @Newcastle (14th)
    Man City (1st)
    @Burnley (19th)
    Brighton (13th)
    @Chelsea (3rd)
    Norwich (20th)
    @Liverpool (2nd)

    Man U:
    Leicester (12th)
    @Everton (17th)
    Norwich (20th)
    @Arsenal (4th)
    Brentford (15th)
    @Brighton (13th)
    Chelsea (3rd)
    @Palace (11th)
    To be rescheduled @Liverpool (2nd)
    Also dealing with Champions League

    West Ham:
    @Tottenham (8th)
    Everton (17th)
    @Brentford (15th)
    @Chelsea (3rd)
    Arsenal (4th)
    Norwich (20th)
    Man City (1st)
    @Brighton (13th)
    Also dealing with Europa League

    Tottenham:
    @Brighton (13th)
    West Ham (6th)
    Newcastle (14th)
    Aston Villa (9th)
    Brighton (13th)
    @Brentford (15th)
    Leicester (12th)
    @Liverpool (2nd)
    Burnley (19th)
    @Norwich (20th)

    I think Wolves have the toughest remaining schedule because they play the top three, and two of them on the road. Those are half of our last six matches. So this next stretch before our final six is very important. We want to have points in hand and not chasing points down the stretch because it wouldn't be outrageous to see Wolves get 0 points from the Liverpool, Chelsea, and Man City matches.
    Must wins - @Burnley, Norwich
    Should win - Brighton, Leeds
    Swing match - Villa, @Newcastle
    Hope for a point - Man City, @Chelsea, @Liverpool

    In the last five seasons, 5th place has had as low as 62 points and as high as 71. But usually in the high 60s. But I think the mid 60s may be the number for this year. Can Wolves get 18 points from the final 27? It's a big ask, but that might be what it takes to get a Europa League spot this season.
    Nice piece of analysis, Mich - very interesting and THANK YOU

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Sep 2011
    Posts
    2,292
    Good one, Mich'...many thanks !

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Mar 2008
    Posts
    17,655
    Excellent work Mich, thanks.

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Apr 2010
    Posts
    15,426
    Good job Mitch, thanks, hope it thaws soon because I guess you must be snowed in in your cabin up there to turn that piece of work out!

    Seriously, excellent stuff.

  7. #7
    Join Date
    May 2011
    Posts
    7,926
    Quote Originally Posted by MichiganWolf View Post
    Wolves have 9 fixtures left on the schedule. Currently in 7th, two points ahead of Spurs (though Spurs have two matches in hand) and two points behind West Ham, four behind Manchester United and five behind Arsenal (who have three matches in hand). Champions League is probably out of the question. So we are looking at possibilities of finishing as high as 5th and as low as 8th (12 points clear of 9th place Villa who have a match in hand).

    Wolves remaining schedule consists of - opponent (current position in table):
    Leeds (16th) - L
    Villa (9th) - W
    @Newcastle (14th) - L
    Man City (1st)
    @Burnley (19th)
    Brighton (13th)
    @Chelsea (3rd)
    Norwich (20th)
    @Liverpool (2nd)

    Man U:
    Leicester (12th) - D
    @Everton (17th) - L
    Norwich (20th) - W
    @Liverpool (2nd) - L
    @Arsenal (4th)
    Brentford (15th)
    @Brighton (13th)
    Chelsea (3rd)
    @Palace (11th)
    Also dealing with Champions League

    West Ham:
    @Tottenham (8th) - L
    Everton (17th) - W
    @Brentford (15th) - L
    Burnley (19th) - D
    @Chelsea (3rd)
    Arsenal (4th)
    Norwich (20th)
    Man City (1st)
    @Brighton (13th)
    Also dealing with Europa League

    Tottenham:
    @Brighton (13th) - W
    West Ham (6th) - W
    Newcastle (14th) - W
    Aston Villa (9th) - W
    Brighton (13th) - L
    @Brentford (15th)
    Leicester (12th)
    @Liverpool (2nd)
    Burnley (19th)
    @Norwich (20th)

    I think Wolves have the toughest remaining schedule because they play the top three, and two of them on the road. Those are half of our last six matches. So this next stretch before our final six is very important. We want to have points in hand and not chasing points down the stretch because it wouldn't be outrageous to see Wolves get 0 points from the Liverpool, Chelsea, and Man City matches.
    Must wins - @Burnley, Norwich
    Should win - Brighton, Leeds
    Swing match - Villa, @Newcastle
    Hope for a point - Man City, @Chelsea, @Liverpool

    In the last five seasons, 5th place has had as low as 62 points and as high as 71. But usually in the high 60s. But I think the mid 60s may be the number for this year. Can Wolves get 18 points from the final 27? It's a big ask, but that might be what it takes to get a Europa League spot this season.
    Updated results for the clubs involved. Since this post, Tottenham were on a tear until they lost to Brighton this past weekend. West Ham have been up and down, but so have Wolves. Arsenal have lost four of five and have Chelsea and ManU as their next fixtures. Wolves are only three and five points behind West Ham and ManU with a match in hand. However, half of our remaining matches are against the top 3 teams in the Prem. I think we have to get 7 from Burnley, Brighton & Norwich. And get 3 points from one of the other three matches. Otherwise, I don't like our chances of Europe very much. Probably need to beat either Leeds or Newcastle (or draw both) to feel good about our chances. Big ask of the club down the stretch, particularly without Neves!

  8. #8
    Join Date
    Dec 2021
    Posts
    274
    Burnley win tonight against a mediocre Southampton side.

    Good or bad sign for us?

  9. #9
    Join Date
    Mar 2008
    Posts
    17,655
    Quote Originally Posted by sausagenegg View Post
    Burnley win tonight against a mediocre Southampton side.

    Good or bad sign for us?
    You never can tell with these situations. Having been following Wolves for 66 years, there is a fair chance that we won't turn up for the match. I really do hope to be proved wrong!

  10. #10
    Join Date
    Dec 2021
    Posts
    274
    I know what you mean Woking, we sometimes get ourselves in a promising position and then fail to turn up when really needed.

    All games are important but I think tomorrow's game really is a must win against a side we have often been bullied by.

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