Final Play-Off Placing

[the_anticlough]

Most seem to have given up on 3rd place. Yes, it's a long shot now but still not impossible.
We win ALL our games, post 85 points and Halifax need 9pts from their 5 fixtures below to pip us on 86.
But 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat from those fixtures and hopefully we'd get them on goal difference/goals scored

Southend (A)
Yeovil (H)
Eastleigh (A)
Aldershot (H)
Stockport (A)

I think the key games are the first and last. Can Wrexham keep Stockport honest and needing at least a point? Doubtful

Second point, what finish would constitute progress? I know you can't just measure progress by outcome, but I feel that 5th followed by semi-final defeat shows no progression. 4th place, and you can at least say we've edged closer.
Post 85pts, even 83, and nobody's touching us for 4th place IMO

[countygump]

Most seem to have given up on 3rd place. Yes, it's a long shot now but still not impossible.
We win ALL our games, post 85 points and Halifax need 9pts from their 5 fixtures below to pip us on 86.
But 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat from those fixtures and hopefully we'd get them on goal difference/goals scored

Southend (A)
Yeovil (H)
Eastleigh (A)
Aldershot (H)
Stockport (A)

I think the key games are the first and last. Can Wrexham keep Stockport honest and needing at least a point? Doubtful

Second point, what finish would constitute progress? I know you can't just measure progress by outcome, but I feel that 5th followed by semi-final defeat shows no progression. 4th place, and you can at least say we've edged closer.
Post 85pts, even 83, and nobody's touching us for 4th place IMO

We need to WIN all our remaining games and see where it takes us. There's no reason why we shouldn't either. But will we?

[ncfcog]

I think the problem is we could win all our remaining games and still have 3 play off games to win to get promoted, that would equate to winning a total of 9 games on the trot, who can remember the last time we managed that?

[the_anticlough]

We need to WIN all our remaining games and see where it takes us. There's no reason why we shouldn't either. But will we?

Despite being capable, there's more chance we won't, obviously.

Don't care if the players are under pressure, we'd have no chance in crunch play-off ties if they can't learn to rise to the occasion.

[the_anticlough]

I think the problem is we could win all our remaining games and still have 3 play off games to win to get promoted, that would equate to winning a total of 9 games on the trot, who can remember the last time we managed that?

Once the 44 games finish everyone should draw a line under it.
Then 6 teams start the mini-tournament from scratch. Better way to look at it?

[Glad2BeAPie]

I think the problem is we could win all our remaining games and still have 3 play off games to win to get promoted, that would equate to winning a total of 9 games on the trot, who can remember the last time we managed that?

When we overtook Rochdale ??

[countygump]

Despite being capable, there's more chance we won't, obviously.

Don't care if the players are under pressure, we'd have no chance in crunch play-off ties if they can't learn to rise to the occasion.

If our players we able to ''rise to the occasion'', we'd surely still be in with a shot at the title. Especially given our ''run in''. Gawd knows how many points we've thrown away.

[laddo]

As for the progress part in terms of on the pitch I don't get hung up whether we finish 3rd or 7th. Let alone 4th versus 5th.

For me it's simple if we get promoted it's clear progression , if we fail in the playoffs it's parity, if we don't make the playoffs its clear regression.

[countygump]

As for the progress part in terms of on the pitch I don't get hung up whether we finish 3rd or 7th. Let alone 4th versus 5th.

For me it's simple if we get promoted it's clear progression , if we fail in the playoffs it's parity, if we don't make the playoffs its clear regression.

So, failing in a P/O final due to a dodgy ref decision would be the same as getting knocked out in the 1st round of the P/O's then?

[Elite_Pie]

We need to WIN all our remaining games and see where it takes us. There's no reason why we shouldn't either. But will we?

Good question. I've had a guess as to our win odds for the remaining games in order to provide a basic numerical chance. I think we'll be odds on to win all six of them, and here's my guess at the odds:

Weymouth (H) 3/10
Dover (A) 2/9
Aldershot (A) 2/5
Dover (H) 1/6
Altrincham (H) 2/5
Maidenhead (A) 4/7

The Weymouth odds are real, all the others are just guesses. They work out at 4.7/1 for the six-timer, or a 17.5% chance of us winning all six.

Anyone who fancies our chances and sticks £10 on and reinvests after each game would get £57 back.