Only twice in the last dozen years has a team with less than 40 points managed to escape the relegation playoffs. Average safety points tally is 41.5. Positive results now needed - view external link
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Only twice in the last dozen years has a team with less than 40 points managed to escape the relegation playoffs. Average safety points tally is 41.5. Positive results now needed - view external link
I appreciate the point you are trying to make, Fargone, but would point out that the two seasons in which a team on less than 40 points escaped the playoffs were also 2 of the highest 3 totals achieved by the championship winners.
On current form, Sevco are likely to rack up around 105 points. As a result, every other team is realistically looking at a maximum of around 97 points instead of the usual maximum of 108.
Accordingly, I would suggest we could reduce the average points needed by around 10% to take account of the fact that fewer points are realistically available to the other 9 teams. By that reckoning, I would suggest that 38 points may be sufficient for 8th this season...
This topic has already been discussed on a thread below...
Think we need to gain around 38 points to avoid the play offs - in other words, win at least 7 of the remaining 13 matches.
The squad of players we have can achieve this, but we need to stop leaking goals .
Beating Dunfermline tomorrow night won't be easy, but we are then on a good run of matches against teams we can beat.
Let's stop kidding ourselves. Our defence is terrible. It will be a miracle if we can win 50% of the games. The best we can hope for is keeping ahead of Airdrie and running in to some late form to win the playoffs. Why did we sign 3 strikers and no defenders in the window?
2 threads on the same subject, really
Because in the 7 following games after Erwin left we only scored 3 goals (2 of those by defenders). These were all close goals with only a goal in them (besides the the Rangers & Dunfermline home games)Quote:
Originally Posted by stan3600
We have managed 2 goals in our last three games but we always play attacking football and the more options we have the better. Suspensions and injuries no doubt will also happen.
We need one more than second bottom at the end of the season!