Blimey that crystal ball of yours must have cost a packet, you knowing all that about what the future holds for all of us.Can I get one:s
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The Ashcroft data is very interesting, the fact that overwhelming majority of leave voters were motivated by sovereignty and immigration, and only 6% by potential improvements in the economy, is significant I think.
But the data is by ethnicity and not nationality, so it makes no distinction between say a third or fourth generation black Briton or Asian Briton, and a Commonwealth citizen resident in the UK who thinks he or she or a relative has a better chance of getting a UK passport with a leave vote.
The second referendum stuff should be simple. I don't think polls are currently showing enough support for remain to justify a second referendum, but if at any point it starts looking like support for the alternative is significant, we should obviously have another referendum.
I don't think that we should've had the initial one until support for leave was pushing 60% in the polls either, for what it's worth.
All of this mess could have been avoided if we had determined that any major change in the constitution could only be brought about by a two-thirds majority. 52-48 is too narrow a split on which to base such a major change and will create bad feeling for years to come. What good is an economic turnaround in 25 years to most of the guys on this board - they'll be long gone or in their dotage.
Surely, it's the next 25 years themselves that are the most important.
I can honestly say that a 2/3 majority to leave would have made me accept the result. However, I would still have said that people were making a big mistake because they don't know enough.
You wouldn't ask the citizens of Nottingham to choose the County team this Saturday when you are employing a staff of knowledgeable experts to make a sound judgement, would you?
No it's not....that was the original batch of 6 or 7 countries who got together after the last WW.......the Guardian ran a nice "scare piece" yesterday explaining why our 39 billion squid divorce bill might be "considerably higher"....because the Socialist EU mafia have apparently agreed to spend much more than they originally intended on rebuilding Central and Eastern Europe using the EU Credit Card, despite some of the Western EU countries asking them to rein in the spending.
One thing I've learnt in life (Sid, listen carefully....I can see you're lurking).....never give women, or Socialists, you're credit card, you'll regret it.