Deadbats season preview/predictions Championship 17-18
Chanpionship Preview 2017/18 (incorporating Ins and Outs)
Well here goes nothing….every year I stick my neck out and predict where all sides will finish in United’s respective league and this time it is the Championship.
Last year in League One, I got 4 of the top 6 and predicted 2 of the 3 that went up also. I had United 6th so was off on that one and the only one I did not predict for promotion – got Bolton and Millwall right. I also got 3 of the 3 relegated teams. I was miles off on Fleetwood though and did not feel Coventry would have been quite so bad.
As for this year, I think the league is quite open. There are no Newcastle’s in the league and I do not see one team running away with it. It really is a case of any team could beat anyone.
However, when you see the money spent by likes of Middlesbrough, Villa, Wolves (17 million) and even Bristol City (5 mill+ for a player) it makes you realise the resources clubs are chucking at it. Reassuringly they are sides like Huddersfield and Reading who spent little and did well. So it does not mean everything.
I expect Boro to do better than Sunderland and Hull who I feel will be quite a bit off the top having lost key men and having ownership questions. I expect Wednesday (sadly), Fulham to be in the mix again but Reading might not be as strong. I also feel likes of Derby, Villa and Wolves will have better seasons this time. Down near the bottom, you feel it will be tough for likes of Burton and Barnsley to replicate last year and also fear for Bolton out of the promoted sides as their style is quite predictable. I also think bigger sides such as Ipswich, QPR may struggle.
As for us? Who knows. We could be anywhere from flirting with the playoffs to a solid middle to two thirds down. I am known as a pessimist but I cannot see us being in a relegation scrap. I think Wilder’s high demands and the way he has the team believing in what they do means that we will be fine in that regard. I would have liked a few more ‘wow’ signings but seems the money is not quite there for that sadly so it may be a season of gulp…consolidation. That would not be a bad thing after the last 6 years.
So here are my predictions complete with the ins and outs over the summer for our Championship rivals (I may have missed odd transfer but hope most is there). Hope I have got most of the information correct – apologies if not.
Scroll down for bonus predictions for the ‘other’ leagues and competitions!
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1) Middlesbrough
Ins: Cyrus Christie (Derby), Jonny Howson (Norwich), Britt Assombalonga (Forest), Darren Randolph (West Ham), George Miller (Bury), Martin Braithwaite (Toulouse), Connor Roberts (Swansea), Ashley Fletcher (West Ham)
Outs: Jordan Rhodes (Wednesday), Cristhian Stuani (Girona), Brad Guzan (Atlanta United), James Husband (Norwich), Viktor Fischer (FSV Mainz), Bernardo Espinosa (Girona), Antonio Barragan (Real Betis - loan), Julien De Sart (Zulte Wargem – loan), Carlos De Pena, Victor Valdes
They came down with barely a whimper which surprised me as they had some good young talent and seemed to have enough to do as well as say Burnley did. They did not concede a lot but could not score and in the end they lacked the quality to compete. Questions carried on about the manager who of course eventually left. Steve Agnew did not get much of a response and they have a new man t the helm now. They have the bulk of a squad that came down but also that came up the year before. Ben Gibson is still there and they have added some real Championship experience in the likes of Christie, Howson and Assombalonga. Add in mainstays like Friend, Leadbitter, Clayton, Forshaw and Ayala and they have the nous and know how at this level.
New manager Gary Monk will be anxious to prove Leeds were wrong not to keep him and you feel he has done enough in both jobs at Swansea and Ellan Road to suggest there is a good young manager in there. If they start well with no hangover you feel these could be the side to beat with a squad packed with experience. They have 5 million+ strikers in Ashley Fletcher and Rudy Gestede that may struggle to get a game. That shows the striking options they have. Their miserly defence remains relatively unchanged. They have ratter sin midfield who will get stuck in and turn the ball over the other way. For me, the team to beat.
Key Player: Britt Assombalonga – He has at times looked devastating but has rarely remained fit and that means there is still a question mark over such a fee (14 million!) but if he gets the service and does remain fit you think he could score a lot of goals for a team that should be right up at the top. Gibson could be the best defender at this level if he remains.
2) Aston Villa
Ins: Glenn Whelan (Stoke), Ahmed Elmohamady (Hull), John Terry (Chelsea), Sam Johnstone (Man Utd – loan), Chris Samba,
Outs: Jordan Veretout (Fiorentina), Carlos Sanchez (Fiorentina), Libor Kozak, Nathan Baker (Bristol City)
The squad is massive and needs pruning and you do wonder about the size of the wage bill and FFP but they now have a manager Steve Bruce that has been around but is relatively successful wherever he goes. He has got teams out of this division quite a few times and knows the city well. You feel with a more settled pre-season and him getting some experienced players in like Whelan and Terry, that they will be much better. They still have question marks over certain players with young Jack Grealish still not really growing up and Ross McCormack seemingly on the way out (if he can get out of his gates at home).
At the back along with Terry, they have Elmohamady, Chester, Taylor, Richards, Elphick, De Laet, Hutton and many of these were Premier League players until recently. You look at the midfield and they have Whelan, Lansbury, Hourihane, Grealish, Jedinak, Adomah, Gardner, Bacuna and it is packed full of quality. Even up top they have Hogan who came in for a lot of money and Agbonlahor who has been around forever to supplant the talented Kodija. On paper, they look an extremely strong outfit but flunked badly last time with managerial changes needed to halt the slide.
You cannot see them doing anywhere near as badly and even though Terry and Whelan may be on their last few years, they still should have enough to ensure the side will not let up and have collapses like they did last year. If they improve the home form and get the crowd on side early on, expect momentum to see them be competing at the top.
Key Player: Jonathan Kodija – Scored 19 goals in a team that struggled at times last season. With an improved squad and a settled management team, you figure he could be right at the top of the scoring charts. A player who can score with both feet, head and takes penalties, he seems to be a real all-around striker. Plays off the last man but can score poachers goals as well as long range efforts. Packs a real shot on him too. Villa will count on him to be their talisman up top.
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3) Sheff Wed
Ins: Jordan Rhodes (Middlesbrough), George Boyd (Burnley)
Outs: Urby Emanuelson (Utrecht), Filipe Melo (Chaves), Vincent Sasso (Belenenses), Claude Dielna
They missed out again in the playoffs and many fans were split on whether manager Carlos Carvahal should be back but the duffle coated Portuguese is back at the helm for another assault. In theory, they will fancy their chances as there are no real powerhouses like last season and they have a relatively unchanged side. They are strong at the back with Lees, Loovens and the underrated Hutchinson being key to the lack of goals conceded and they have an abundance of strikers with Rhodes, Fletcher, Hooper and Winnall but are no closer to knowing the best two and keeping all four happy might be a challenge. Some have flattered to deceive and Abdi and Reach did not quite have the impact that the Owls would have hoped for substantial outlays and wages.
They have some good performers for this level in the likes of Bannan and Lee who do the engine work and also weigh in with goals and assists. George Boyd might not be a glamourous signing but he is as hard working as they come. The fans may be disappointed they have not spent more but they were not far off last season and whilst others have strengthened, they will know the strong defence and organisation will ensure they will be tough to beat again. Fans hope the shackles may come off a bit more and that they attack teams more, especially at home. The owners have spent a lot of money and will feel that this year they need to see some return. If they fail again it will be 18 years without being in the top flight which is the longest by some way in their history and the pressure may be too much for the affable Carvahal.
Key Player: Fernando Forestieri – He may have missed the penalty that ended their latest attempt for the Premier League but he is the man that gives them the extra quality…the x factor. He dives, moans and spends a lot of time on the floor, but he is a very skilful performer and has the class needed to create and take goals. For all his criticism, he is the one player on the Wednesday side that other teams fear when he gets on the ball. His loyalty may be in question as he effectively went on strike last season to engineer either a move or a better deal at Hillsborough; but you feel his performances will go a long way to seeing whether this year is Wednesday’s year.