The bottom 5 based on current points won extrapolated over the season is .....
20. Peterborough 46
21. Derby 56 -12 = 44
22. Cardiff 36
23. Hull 30
24. Barnsley 26
Get docked another 9 and we struggle.
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The bottom 5 based on current points won extrapolated over the season is .....
20. Peterborough 46
21. Derby 56 -12 = 44
22. Cardiff 36
23. Hull 30
24. Barnsley 26
Get docked another 9 and we struggle.
Well...aside from such factors as faulty polling, flawed correlations, selective bias, unsuitably small sample size and misleading data visualisation...you might be right.
Be interesting to see how your ‘stats’ based forecast of 2nd October holds up. Much as I’d love it to...it’s not looking great at the moment. ;D
My computations are still looking good - based on every team's last SIX games form (and that includes our last loss) we survive (on the pitch) easily, finishing four****th. We also survive based on our form every week but one going right back to our first points being declared in admin
Using simple extrapolation of PPG over a 46 game season, Reading will end with 40.48 points. Derby will have 40.92 and a better GD, Safe.