I think its quiet on here because we are getting a Tory majority government.
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Indyref 2 here we come!
I am praying the Scottish exit poll is correct not for my independence referendum which Boris will refuse anyway,no no i just want to see Ruth Davidson swimming naked in Loch Ness if the SNP get 50 seats or over.That is what she said yesterday and i am going to hold her to that.
Jo Swinson on a shoogly peg!
Now that the dust of Labour's Red wall demolition has settled, we are entering a huge period of both certainty and uncertainty.
Certainties :
Section 30 Request by 20/12/2019 - rejected
Brexit mechanism on 31/01/2020 - enabled
Uncertainties for Indyref 2 :
The Legal Route : requesting Independence Referendum via the UK Supreme Court - Rejected
requesting the International Court of Justice to arbitrate in an internationally recognise referendum proposed by
nations friendly to Scotland position : possible
If that fails then there will be no referendum in 2020.
The Political Route : If the above fails
Withdraw all MPs from Westminster to prepare for 2021 along with a reconstituted Yes Movement involving smaller Indy Supporting parties and dissident Lab/Lib/Tory politicians
Seek a mandate through the 2021 Scottish elections for a Majority Government of Independence Supporting MSPs (SNP/Green) as its virtually impossible under the dehondt system for a single party majority, and have SNP1 Green2 on Ballots.
Demand Section 30 - Accepted - set a date
Rejected - repeat legal route
This is how I see it panning out - but the divergent ambitions of both Scotland and England have been exposed, and its definitely happening.
The only option open to the UK now is accept Section 30 or a Greenland Style Opt Out for them to allow Scotland to remain the the Customs Union.
Otherwise years of conflict ahead.