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Thread: Points required for survival

  1. #1
    Join Date
    Jul 2003
    Posts
    760

    Points required for survival

    Only twice in the last dozen years has a team with less than 40 points managed to escape the relegation playoffs. Average safety points tally is 41.5. Positive results now needed - view external link

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Jun 2004
    Posts
    1,126

    re: Points required for survival

    I appreciate the point you are trying to make, Fargone, but would point out that the two seasons in which a team on less than 40 points escaped the playoffs were also 2 of the highest 3 totals achieved by the championship winners.

    On current form, Sevco are likely to rack up around 105 points. As a result, every other team is realistically looking at a maximum of around 97 points instead of the usual maximum of 108.

    Accordingly, I would suggest we could reduce the average points needed by around 10% to take account of the fact that fewer points are realistically available to the other 9 teams. By that reckoning, I would suggest that 38 points may be sufficient for 8th this season...

  3. #3

    re: Points required for survival

    This topic has already been discussed on a thread below...

    Think we need to gain around 38 points to avoid the play offs - in other words, win at least 7 of the remaining 13 matches.

    The squad of players we have can achieve this, but we need to stop leaking goals .

    Beating Dunfermline tomorrow night won't be easy, but we are then on a good run of matches against teams we can beat.

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Jun 2010
    Posts
    40

    re: Points required for survival

    Let's stop kidding ourselves. Our defence is terrible. It will be a miracle if we can win 50% of the games. The best we can hope for is keeping ahead of Airdrie and running in to some late form to win the playoffs. Why did we sign 3 strikers and no defenders in the window?

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Jan 2009
    Posts
    648

    re: Points required for survival

    2 threads on the same subject, really

  6. #6

    re: Points required for survival

    Quote Originally Posted by stan3600
    Let's stop kidding ourselves. Our defence is terrible. It will be a miracle if we can win 50% of the games. The best we can hope for is keeping ahead of Airdrie and running in to some late form to win the playoffs. Why did we sign 3 strikers and no defenders in the window?
    Because in the 7 following games after Erwin left we only scored 3 goals (2 of those by defenders). These were all close goals with only a goal in them (besides the the Rangers & Dunfermline home games)

    We have managed 2 goals in our last three games but we always play attacking football and the more options we have the better. Suspensions and injuries no doubt will also happen.

  7. #7

    re: Points required for survival

    We need one more than second bottom at the end of the season!

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