Our chance of going down in percentage terms

[Elite_Pie]

As most are probably aware, I often look to the bookies for an unbiased (apart from their 10% profit margin) opinion of where we really stand. A fair few bookies are offering 5/1 about us being relegated, which equates to a 16.7% chance of going down, therefore an 83.7% chance of staying up (in reality a bit less if you account for the profit margin). I wish I could share their optimism, because I rate our chances of survival way less than that. So what does everyone else think if you had to put a percentage chance on our survival?

[Bridg4d_Pie_]

On current form less than 50 - 50.

[countygump]

As most are probably aware, I often look to the bookies for an unbiased (apart from their 10% profit margin) opinion of where we really stand. A fair few bookies are offering 5/1 about us being relegated, which equates to a 16.7% chance of going down, therefore an 83.7% chance of staying up (in reality a bit less if you account for the profit margin). I wish I could share their optimism, because I rate our chances of survival way less than that. So what does everyone else think if you had to put a percentage chance on our survival?

Very much depends on who we appoint for the next 3 months and the Janny-Tranny window. I'll go for 50/50 at the mo.

[Bohinen]

30%

What worries is that Ardley is favourite in the betting (worse than being Tangoed) because he comes off a terrible run with Wimbledon of 10 defeats in 12. That's not what you should choose in our situation.

[JoePass]

Very much depends on who we appoint for the next 3 months and the Janny-Tranny window. I'll go for 50/50 at the mo.

Janny Tranny in midfield would be a good move

[Bridg4d_Pie_]

Janny Tranny in midfield would be a good move

We may not have the Wonga for.him . 😝🤤

[navypie]

I'm 100% convinced we won't go down.

ps. My god, how did we get here!!

[Glad2BeAPie]

I'm 100% convinced we won't go down.

Agreed

[ncfcog]

We may not have the Wonga for.him . ����

Or her?

[Mark_Ross]

We have to face it - Notts are in a real battle for survival. Before saturday I'd have said better than 50/50. After saturday I'd say 60/40 in favour of relegation.