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Thread: Its 25/1 for automatic

  1. #1
    Join Date
    Oct 2023
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    Its 25/1 for automatic

    Odds available from a well known bookmaker based in Stoke.Odds about right i think.

  2. #2
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    Oct 2023
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    But its 15/8 for promotion !!!

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Feb 2019
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    Quote Originally Posted by Piessince67 View Post
    Odds available from a well known bookmaker based in Stoke.Odds about right i think.
    If we say 2/1 against us beating Donny.
    2/1 against Walsall failing to win.
    2/1 against Bradford losing.

    That is 26/1 so as you say - about right.

  4. #4
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1955pie View Post
    If we say 2/1 against us beating Donny.
    2/1 against Walsall failing to win.
    2/1 against Bradford losing.

    That is 26/1 so as you say - about right.
    Even though the 2/1 odds you quote for each game are way off, the 26/1 chance for all three to come up is almost spot on. The best odds I can find for each outcome are:

    Fleetwood beat Bradford 11/2
    Walsall fail to win 4/6
    Notts beat Donny 29/20

    That treble pays 25.54/1.

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Jun 2009
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    624
    Quote Originally Posted by Elite_Pie View Post
    Even though the 2/1 odds you quote for each game are way off, the 26/1 chance for all three to come up is almost spot on. The best odds I can find for each outcome are:

    Fleetwood beat Bradford 11/2
    Walsall fail to win 4/6
    Notts beat Donny 29/20

    That treble pays 25.54/1.
    Actually those are good odds if you base it on simple possible permutations and take away home advantage and position in the league. There are 27 possible outcomes next Saturday, if you consider each that team can win, lose or draw, and going through them, as we can ignore goal difference, which works in our favour, we can do it in 2 of those combinations, i.e.

    Bradford L
    Walsall D/L
    Notts W

    so its 2/27 - I know looking at it like this its an extremely slim chance, but we all know on the last day anything can happen. Nerves kick in and players can lose their heads and see a red card, as happened for both Bradford and Walsall yesterday, or as we we have seen, there are many poor refs in this league and .I wouldn't put it past one of those awarding a dubious penalty in injury time. Also the form table (for last 6 games) has Fleetwood above Bradford and Crewe above Walsall so who knows. Stranger things have happened.

    So, 25/1 looks pretty good on paper. Might be worth a punt.

  6. #6
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    Aug 2006
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    See you on the pitch for the start of the promotion party at 5pm Sat.

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Aug 2009
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    Quote Originally Posted by MagicBoots View Post

    So, 25/1 looks pretty good on paper. Might be worth a punt.
    Walsall not winning seems the best of the three.

    But Bradford blowing promotion at home, in front of 20K +, needing just 1 point, end up losing? I wouldn't go anywhere near putting money on that.

  8. #8
    Join Date
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    Quote Originally Posted by the_anticlough View Post
    Walsall not winning seems the best of the three.

    But Bradford blowing promotion at home, in front of 20K +, needing just 1 point, end up losing? I wouldn't go anywhere near putting money on that.
    They do have one of their best defenders Aden Baldwin suspended.

  9. #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1955pie View Post
    They do have one of their best defenders Aden Baldwin suspended.
    I'm sure he's done great for them this season. But even LW called him crazy, maybe it's for the best he's sitting out this one.

  10. #10
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
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    1,999
    Quote Originally Posted by the_anticlough View Post
    Walsall not winning seems the best of the three.

    But Bradford blowing promotion at home, in front of 20K +, needing just 1 point, end up losing? I wouldn't go anywhere near putting money on that.
    They need all 3 - a point means Walsall could catch them.

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