Election Prediction: Con 134, Lab 422, SNP 54, Lib 16; Labour majority of 194

[_Stefan_Kuntz]

The prediction is from a poll of polls by Electoral Calculus.
"Our poll-of-polls for December shows the Labour lead over the Conservatives holding fairly steady. It is still around 20pc, which is the same as last month. That would still leave Labour with a very large majority in the House of Commons.

There has also been some growth in support for the Reform party, who now have more support than the Greens in the polls. The Reform party are unlikely to win any seats, but if most of those voters came from the Conservatives, then they are depriving the Conservatives of about 25 seats which they would otherwise have won".