For those who regard a Conservative MP as a blight on the country the Reform Party steadily averaging 6% in the opinion polls, i.e. Electoral Calculus, is excellent news.

If the Reform Party gets 6% of votes across the entire UK in the next General Election very nearly all of that will be people who would otherwise have voted Conservative. It would be disastrous for the Conservatives. Think of all those Conservative held seats that are currently marginals. Even those Conservative seats that are not marginals would be at risk of being lost.

The Reform Party will of course get no seats but it will make a poor Conservative Party General Election result even worse.