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Thread: The Final Countdown (2021-22) (Final)

  1. #21
    Join Date
    Mar 2004
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    29,615
    One more chalked off today but feels a bit hollow at the moment.

  2. #22
    Join Date
    Aug 2004
    Posts
    5,967
    I hesitate to comment as I know the response. But that was a disgrace. Warne should hang his head in shame.

  3. #23
    Join Date
    Mar 2004
    Posts
    29,615
    Another one chalked off in Cheltenham Town although I'm sure we'd all have preferred it didn't come tonight.

    The scary thing is, if current form continues, teams may be looking at 80pts for a play off place whereas when I started this thread it was around 73/74. If that remains the case it signifies that the best team in the division (Bolton) are almost done as they can only get 82

  4. #24
    Join Date
    Mar 2004
    Posts
    29,615
    No more scalps today (although 3pts off the magic number ).

    On to Tuesday when we could be adding Accrington and Bolton to the list.

  5. #25
    Tick tock, the games tick away

    The pressure builds

  6. #26
    Join Date
    Jan 2017
    Posts
    3,220
    Just been talking to a Wednesday fan ,he says we will need 94 points to win the league because they will win every game.LOL.

  7. #27
    Join Date
    Mar 2004
    Posts
    29,615
    Quote Originally Posted by MillerBill View Post
    Just been talking to a Wednesday fan ,he says we will need 94 points to win the league because they will win every game.LOL.
    Well that's now 92 using that rationale and we'll probably get there anyway! It would be funny though if they did get 92pts, miss out on automatics and lose in the play offs

    Two more teams join the list of 'can't catch us' tonight and what do you know, the best team in the league is one of them. Must make us good then! Only 4 more to go and a playoff place is guaranteed.

    1. Doncaster Rovers
    2. Crewe Alexandra
    3. Gillingham
    4. Morecambe
    ================ Yay! We can't be relegated
    5. AFC Wimbledon
    6. Lincoln City
    7. Shrewsbury Town
    8. Fleetwood Town
    9. Charlton Athletic
    10. Burton Albion
    11. Cambridge United
    12. Cheltenham Town
    13. Accrington Stanley
    14. Bolton Wanderers
    15.
    16.
    17.
    18.
    =============== Hooray! We are in the playoffs.
    19.
    20.
    21.
    22.
    =============== Get the beers in! We're promoted.
    23.
    =============== Champions!

  8. #28
    Join Date
    May 2014
    Posts
    1,122
    I really like your Countdown table CAM - it's a welcome alternative to looking at pure performances/results and trying to foresee who will win/lose/draw. Another way of looking at our chances of automatic promotion is to do a direct comparison with MK Dons, who I suspect are the only team who stand a realistic chance of catching us. We are effectively 8 points ahead of them with 8 to play; so in every remaining game, they need to earn 1 more point than us. If we beat Shrewsbury and they lose to Cambridge on Saturday, they will need to earn 1.5 points more than us in each remaining game. However, should we lose and they win, that figure would reduce to 0.7 per game.

    I realise it's probably a pointless exercise, but anything that makes the wait for an automatic spot less stressful than watching us on the pitch is worth considering.

    So our APPFvMKD (Automatic Promotion Points Factor v MK Dons) is currently 1 gusting 1.5 (hopefully)! The sooner we get to 3.1, the better!

  9. #29
    Join Date
    Mar 2004
    Posts
    29,615
    Well progress has been stalled on this for a couple of weeks. An Ipswich loss today would have added them to the list but in the bigger picture a win for them is probably better for our cause.

  10. #30
    Join Date
    Nov 2019
    Posts
    7,037
    It's up to us. Get team selection right manager no more trying to keep everyone happy, select starting 11 on merit. Still think Kelly could be our game changer we need something different

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