MoD Expected goals

[Altobelli]

Not a lover of these new fangled expressions Colner, The goals for games played for a specific player is good enough for me.

As all this come from the perfect FA or our so called expert pundits ?

[oldcolner]

I think it's a BBC Match of the Day thing and the figure appears in the sequence showing shots, reds and yellows after they showed the game, but no one has mentioned it yet. Probably because it's double Dutch to them too!,

There is a list of games and EG figures on here quite a way down though.
It's a metric apparently- I prefer imperial though!
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/40912926

[Altobelli]

Yes I'm an inch, foot and yard man also.

[oldcolner]

Well now they are being used to say what the result should have been.

We should have lost to Chelsea by 1.56 to 0.63.

'Expected goals' is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match, with every shot taken given an 'expected goal' value based on the difficulty of the attempt.

Based on a number of factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders, the 'expected goal' value reveals the likelihood a specific shot will end in a goal; the higher the value, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot

The 'expected goal' value of every shot in a game is used to calculate the 'expected goals' (xG) of a match. Click here to find out more about the calculations used to work out xG.

Should a team end with a higher xG than actual goals scored, it is probable they were wasteful in front of goal due to poor finishing or an in-form opposition goalkeeper. If the real goals scored is higher than the xG, the team have been lucky to score so many???

Lucky no just class

West Brom 1.27 v Bournemouth 0.47

https://talksport.com/football/expec...0818250936?p=1

[oldcolner]

Well we beat West Brom on expected goals 1.28 v 0.91 Arsenal beat Stoke too.

https://talksport.com/football/expec...hould-have?p=1