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Thread: MoD Expected goals

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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Apr 2009
    Posts
    34,432
    Yes I'm an inch, foot and yard man also.

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Posts
    13,001
    Well now they are being used to say what the result should have been.

    We should have lost to Chelsea by 1.56 to 0.63.

    'Expected goals' is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match, with every shot taken given an 'expected goal' value based on the difficulty of the attempt.

    Based on a number of factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders, the 'expected goal' value reveals the likelihood a specific shot will end in a goal; the higher the value, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot

    The 'expected goal' value of every shot in a game is used to calculate the 'expected goals' (xG) of a match. Click here to find out more about the calculations used to work out xG.

    Should a team end with a higher xG than actual goals scored, it is probable they were wasteful in front of goal due to poor finishing or an in-form opposition goalkeeper. If the real goals scored is higher than the xG, the team have been lucky to score so many???

    Lucky no just class

    West Brom 1.27 v Bournemouth 0.47

    https://talksport.com/football/expec...0818250936?p=1

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Jan 2010
    Posts
    13,001
    Well we beat West Brom on expected goals 1.28 v 0.91 Arsenal beat Stoke too.

    https://talksport.com/football/expec...hould-have?p=1

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