I remember when I was a kid in the 81 Championship season when Moore scored in the last minute to win 2-1 at home to the Blades, on the way out a couple of old blokes were saying we were definitely going up - you can just tell with little breaks that fall for you.
Seen that over the years in multiple promotion and relegation seasons. Those little breaks continually going for/against you and you can read how it's going to turn out. Scunny 2-1 last season...
Generally, its the quality that is leveling out the season to end pretty much where you deserve with the quality of players you have.
Now, where did I put that razor blade??