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Thread: The wait goes on ...

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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Sep 2008
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    7,212
    Quote Originally Posted by KerrAvon View Post
    It isn't based on the performance of individual clubs, which would be a nonsense for the reason you give.

    Tranmere are talking about looking at the tables for the last three years to establish the margin of error for using ppg as a predictor for final league positions (irrespective of the identity of the teams that were in the relevant positions). It looks clumsy and artificial to me.
    This, from Sunderland's local paper, seems to be thinking on the same lines as my interpretation

    "The points-per-game method will be modified to include a 'margin for error calculator' that will account for clubs who, over the past three seasons, have not performed as strongly during their final nine games as expected.

    The complex proposal could see the percentage of total points clubs will receive to account for the final nine unplayed games vary between -5.45 to +6.3% on average."

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Oct 2009
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    8,628
    Quote Originally Posted by wrinkly View Post
    This, from Sunderland's local paper, seems to be thinking on the same lines as my interpretation

    "The points-per-game method will be modified to include a 'margin for error calculator' that will account for clubs who, over the past three seasons, have not performed as strongly during their final nine games as expected.

    The complex proposal could see the percentage of total points clubs will receive to account for the final nine unplayed games vary between -5.45 to +6.3% on average."
    Then that is truly mad. A team's performance in one season is not a predictor for their performance in another.

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Posts
    3,370
    Quote Originally Posted by KerrAvon View Post
    Then that is truly mad. A team's performance in one season is not a predictor for their performance in another.
    How can anyone predict what this seasons squad will do in this division based on what last years squad did in the Championship? We're in a division lower, arguably with a better squad and undeniably better results, relatively speaking!!

    Whereas Tranmere, who are now in a division higher and would appear to be finding it a bit tougher would benefit. Based on their recent successful seasons in lower divisions, they deserve to stay up.......in their eyes!!

    Also, what does "........have not performed as strongly during their final nine games as expected." actually mean??

    We scored loads of goals away against Swansea, Stoke & WBA towards the end of last season (forget the results) that someone may not have predicted. Does that help?

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