
Originally Posted by
Baggiemadguern
In response to Swedish, Mickd & Al. (It is easier to write to all than several individually.)
It is quite funny really. When this pandemic started, so before it was a pandemic, my good lady was proclaiming all sorts of horrors that would unfold, and dismissed this and said it would not be as bad as everyone thought and that people catching it and death rates would be nowhere near what they were projecting. Well we now see, 9 months later, that we were both right, albeit she more so than me. It was and remains out of control, however the number of deaths particularly in the U.K. remain way below the initial U.K. prediction of around half a million. The thing is, I was thinking in the short term initially but now we do not know how long this will go on for.
Initially, I thought the Guernsey Government had gone to far in locking down. However, it very soon became quite clear that it was having an effect in reducing transmitting and therefore, the numbers of people falling victim fell quite quickly. After a couple of months things were so well controlled restrictions started to be reduced and soon we were out of lockdown. What we did not do was see the numbers reduce a little and then start allowing the hospitality, gyms, cinemas etc to open willy nilly. It was never the intention locally to eradicate the virus but they actually did do that.
The route taken, by Guernsey and the Isle of Man was strict and hard bit it damn well worked. Unlike the U.K. though, the way out of lock down was done very differently, in levels whereby small permissions were granted every couple of weeks. To date it has worked. So from being against a lockdown at the outset, I am now in favour. What I am trying to say if every country had done properly in the first place it have been a different story and we could well be back on our way to normality. As it stands, most places are back to where they were three or four months ago.
I see the point Swedish makes in regard to the vulnerable young people, those with mental health etc. but unless someone grabs this by the throat and deals with it properly then we could be in a serious situation. If we thought it was bad last time, I am sure that would seem like a walk in the park compared to another round as winter approaches and food shortages worsen. And who will want to expertise for two hours in the pouring rain, gale force winds and snow.
I can listen and absorb all points of views made and could easily be swayed in my thinking re a herd immunity type of way for dealing with this virus. However, having seen and gone through a lockdown, properly controlled with excellent Governance and a top class Chief Medical Officer of Health, I am not of anywhere else, other than the IOM, that has dealt with as effectively. Like Mickd, I have completely changed my view, in reverse to his change of view of course.
I have noticed this weekend, locally, supermarkets and some smaller shops are putting more hand sanitiser out and returning protective screens to the auto pay checkouts, so something is on the horizon.
What ever happens keep up the hand washing etc and stay safe. And I hope that the world will bring those that introduced this virus to us all will be brought to task. Unlikely though is it.