Quote Originally Posted by BCram View Post
Dundee has 272 covid infections. The population is 144k so our rate per 100k is 272/1.44=189. The criteria for Tier 3 between 150 and 300 cases per 100,000 people
between 5% and 10% positive tests
very high probability of 300 cases per 100,000 in two weeks' time
the projection of hospital bed use in the health board in four weeks' time is greater than the health board's share of 2,000 beds nationally
the projection of ICU bed use in the health board in three weeks' time is greater than twice its normal capacity

I really want to understand what this all means. In particular I do not understand the difference between the very high probability of 300 cases per 100k in two weeks time and the projection in 4 weeks time for ICU bed use will be greater than than twice its normal capacity.

Does the figure of 189 per 100k work out at 189/100000x100=0.189%?
How is the range between 5-10%of positive tests applied?

I see that Perth transferred some of their ICU capacity to Dundee. How does that decision affect things?

I am fed up not understanding what is basically some simple arithmetic- can anyone help me?
Pointless trying Bcram.

This is much more now, it's political and galloping loss of freedom.

My basic theory is to ignore absolutely everything they say.

Locking down the sick is what time, locking down the healthy is tyranny.