Quote Originally Posted by Red Zone View Post
The strategy is right as let's face it they are not going to win any blue seats ending in the word "shire". I wouldn't pay too much attention to opinion polls at the moment as they artificially inflate the Tories on the back of the vaccination roll out (and the EU roll-out being sh1t so playing to red wall voters) and lifting of lockdown restrictions. Lot's to play out before the next election that will bring down the Tory vote and people will naturally switch to Labour as no other realistic option

1. Public Inquiry into how much of a shambles the approach to covid was will be a disaster for Tories.
2. Tax rises for most people over the coming years with limited scope for pre election giveaways
3. It won't be called austerity but austerity like policies to cut deficit - more things like the miserable 1% pay offer to nurses
4. Boris will naturally shoot himself in the foot multiple times over the coming years because he is lazy and speaks/acts before he thinks
5. Plus the big ticket item of Brexit that I suspect will be much worse than anyone realises it will be because the French etc will make sure it is to stop anyone else leaving the EU so economy will be worse, unemployment higher etc than the last election.
6. The vaccination roll-out will be a distant memory by then as will the Brexit vote

I agree that Starmer is very underwhelming and much worse than I expected him to be but a steady safe pair of hands might well be enough against Johnson by 2024. Remember elections are not won by the core vote that will always vote Labour/Tory but by the 30% or so in the middle that are willing to swap sides in the 100 or so constituencies that can change hands.
1. They'll get off with it and people will forget even if they don't because so many people don't really have the attention span.

2. They'll spin it and then see above.

3. Austerity hasn't cost them at all during their time in power.

4. Boris has been acting that way since he first became an MP. I can't see why it'll make a difference now.

5. Brexit means less foreigners so that's all that matters to a lot of people down there. Europe will have the same issues as anyone else so they'll spin it to make us look better.

6. They'll be something else shiny.

7. Labour are ****.

2024 is a long way off and the hope that labour will get a massive swing in their favour isn't something I'm going to put money on.

Get the referendum fired up.