could you give the reference. I've been wondering how the forecasts compared with the outcomes. It seems to me that maybe the actions taken, like lockdowns and social distancing will have contributed to the success that we are having. You would think that the scientists could work out the influences on the reduction in cases, and more importantly the reduction in hospital admittances. Lockdowns, social distancing and vaccinations seem to be the key weapons.

International travel bans also seem to be very significant. I'm hoping for a holiday in Majorca this summer, so any good news will be welcome.