
Originally Posted by
Heliosphan
That's where you're going wrong. We could have had 100 spins of red, it doesn't mean the next one will probably be black because previous spins don't affect the outcome of the next spin, it's always an equal chance of either colour. If it WAS black, that doesn't mean the colour was "due" it just means that black won in an even money shot.
Just to clarify. If you went to the table and tried to get odds on 10 red spins, you'd get good odds because the chances of guessing the sequence of 10 spins is unlikely. But that's not what you're doing.
When you play the lottery, you're betting on a single draw. Every ball has an equal chance of coming out and no previous draw has any influence on that. It's a complete illusion to think any ball or set of balls is somehow due.