O/T:- ⚠️Impressed with the leadership [The UK Party Politics Thread]

[drillerpie]

Thank goodness there’s this thing called the internet which we can use to settle trivial points of disagreement. Unless Wikipedia is considered too ‘woke’.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinio...hip_referendum

The point from the Wiki page about phone polling not being accurate reminds me of one I brought up a few years ago after having watched an interview with one of the few pollsters to predict Trump's win in 2016.

I can't remember the exact methodology he used but he did say something like that by calling people over the phone you're already biased towards people who don't have much to do during the day/early evening or have office jobs where they can talk for a bit.

[Elite_Pie]

The point from the Wiki page about phone polling not being accurate reminds me of one I brought up a few years ago after having watched an interview with one of the few pollsters to predict Trump's win in 2016.

I can't remember the exact methodology he used but he did say something like that by calling people over the phone you're already biased towards people who don't have much to do during the day/early evening or have office jobs where they can talk for a bit.

Regardless of any perceived poll bias, in this case some have said they never saw a pre-Brexit poll that favoured leave. There were several, and that's what made me put money on vote leave even though I voted remain. Looking at BFP's link, between 20th May and 16th June there were 30 polls. Of those 30, 9 favoured remain, 18 favoured leave, and 3 were equal. That was probably when I put my bet on.

But some never saw a poll that was in favour of leave!

[OchPie]

But some never saw a poll that was in favour of leave!

To be fair, there was an overriding sentiment in the country that Remain would win. Indeed I think that helped persuade some people to vote Leave as a protest.

The polls certainly didn't seem to panic the Remain campaign into taking things seriously and making a proper positive case for being in.