So we're back to by-elections tomorrow in two historically very safe Tory seats. One because the utterly obnoxious Nadine Dorries has finally quit, and one because Chris 'Bottom' Pincher couldn't control his hands after a few drinks. It looks likely that the Tories will hold Mid Bedfordshire with a hugely reduced majority, because Labour and LibDems decided to fight it rather than one of them stand down and give the other an easy win which is disappointing for ABTT (Anyone But The Tories) supporters like me. Tamworth is a straight fight between Tories and Labour, and Labour need to win this one if they want power next year.

It will be interesting to see if the polls have got it right or wrong.