Quote Originally Posted by Blackdogblue View Post
🎣 … Hook line & sinker 😀…

What if it was 0-1, 0-1 AW, AW..

Would that have been higher?

What about 1-1, 1-1, D, D..

Need a plan to catch Mullen 😎

Any help appreciated thanks…
OK BDB. So far this season across all games selected by Griff, there have been:-

125 Homes. (125 x 1 point = 125 points)
85 Draws. (85 x 1 point = 85 points)
85 Aways. (85 x 1 point = 85 points)

Therefore, because of the nature of the scoring system (equal points be it home, away or draw) any system with any chance of winning would needs to be based on home wins (40 points ahead of draws and/or aways) unless that 40 point shortfall could be made up in the correct scores section (worth an additional 2 points).

Within the correct scores section this season the most common results have been:-

1-0 (21 games)
1-1 (20 games)
0-0 (16 games)
0-1 (12 games)
2-0 (11 games)
2-1 (10 games)
1-2 (10 games)

Therefore if anyone had used a system similar to the 1-0 being suggested, total points in the season to date for each of these scores would be:-

1-0 167 points (125+42)
1-1 125 points (85+40)
0-0 117 points (85+32)
0-1 109 points (85+24)
2-0 147 points (125+22)
2-1 145 points (125+20)
1-2 105 points (85+20)

As you can see, the option of selecting all draws or all aways would have achieved nowhere near the total points generated by the three most common home win options.

The top three being:-

1-0 167 points.
2-0 147 points.
2-1 145 points.

However it is worth remembering that the above calculations are based on this season's results. Next season a different score (other than 1-0) could be leading the way. In past years I have seen 2-1 be the most common score.

What I would add though, based on results in previous seasons, is that unless the scoring system changes (e.g. more points awarded for correctly predicting the scores of draws and/or aways) any system based on draws and/or aways is highly unlikely to win over a system based on home wins.

Hope this helps!