Quote Originally Posted by Sclox View Post
Feel free to shoot me down in this idea. I'm thinking out loud but I reckon we could get Nketiah for about 15 -20 mill going by their chat. Could EH work his magic with him as a back up to Isak to keep him on his toes? They seem to need a proven, experienced goal scorer to take them over the line.

Could something be done with a Wilson and cash swap? Both are sick notes I know but it could be a win win for all parties I think and Nketiah has a bit more youth on his side. Theres a player in there I reckon. Could maybe work or perhaps I've had too many Haribos tonight.

When you look at the transfer market, swap deals generally don't happen.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gxVctUN1GFM

Also I don't see Arsenal being interested in a player who is not available for 50% of the season.

Eddie Nketiah record
2017– Arsenal 116 (19)
2019–2020 → Leeds United (loan) 17 (3)

Total - 133 games, 22 goals = 1 goal every 6.045 games.

The Solanke, DCL, Iheanacho fallacy that these guys are actually good strikers. They are not. Anyone who has a ratio worse than 1 in 3 you're talking about a player that is a passenger for a club with top 4 ambitions.

For comparison Wilson is a 1 in 2.45 game striker. So even when you double that ratio due to factor he's out for 50% of the season he's still a 1 in 4.90 striker. Which is still better than Nketiah by a ratio of 1.145 goals per game.

Over the course of a 38 game season that means:
Wilson will score around 7.75 goals a season
Nketiah will score around 6.28 goals a season

When you work out the numbers does anyone genuinely think it's worth the selling Wilson and paying Nketiah's agent and Arsenal a transfer fee to bring in a player who will return 1.5 less goals a season?