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Thread: Run In.. opposition additional games

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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Jul 2017
    Posts
    5,188

    The Run-in Thread

    Alreet Cup winners, how ya deein?

    After the Brentford match and 3 points I thought it might be an interesting to start a 'Run-in' thread which we count down the matches and chart our progress as we fight for a top 5 UEFA Champions League spot against the other challengers.

    To set out the frame work:- what we know.

    Due to the Prem teams performance we have an extra slot in the UCL - Top 5 Prem teams qualify
    Liverpool are 23 points clear & Arsenal are 11 points clear of us in 5th - They've qualified bar an never-seen-before crash
    Forest have a 6 point lead on City winning their last 3 in a row - on current form and across the season deserve their UCL spot

    4th to 8th are all in the mix for those 2 remaining UCL spots 4 points cover the spread of 5 teams in the mix
    4 - City (51pts)
    5 - Newcastle United
    6 - Chelsea (before the Spurs match)
    7 - Villa
    8 - Brighton (47pts)

    City are City - consummate professionals with enough experience and quality to get the job done
    Newcastle United - We are capable of grinding out results. Brentford was a good performance but exposed a few issues
    Chelsea - hit and miss. The Spurs performance will tell us more about where they are as the matches tick away
    Villa - Rushford and Marco Asensio have really improved them. The Brummies are this season Ange / Spurs hype team
    Brighton - had a great run of form but a draw and a loss in their last 2 has knocked the wind from their sails
    _______

    Our remaining games

    5 of 9 are home fixtures - 15 points

    Man U, Palace, Ipswich, Chelsea & Everton
    We are better on our day than all 5 of these teams.
    Man U we need a statement win.
    Palace are one of those teams we should always beat but often throw a spanner in the works.
    Ipswich are whipping boys. 3 points a must against this lot. Delap needs watched!
    Chelsea will defo be a decided for the top 5, at home we simply must beat them.
    Everton to close the show in match day 38 - May 25th - I'm hoping we've sealed the deal by kick off

    4 of 9 - away fixtures
    Leicester, Aston Villa, Brighton, Arsenal - 3 are tough fixtures on paper

    Leicester, like the Ipswich at home has to be a banker. A game that Champions League qualifiers simply must win
    Aston Villa are a direct competitor for the UCL spots and on a great run of form. Still in Europe, will that have an effect?
    Brighton is not always a happy hunting ground for us. With their form falling apart hopefully we'll take a point
    Arsenal - 3 times we've pumped them this season. 4/4 would just be delightful. I guess they'll have an axe to grind
    _______

    What does everyone thing is going to play out across the remaining 9?

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Jul 2017
    Posts
    5,188
    Nufcian - Imported from his 'Run in Thread'

    The ways Europe, Conference League, Champions League, and FA Cup fixture are (and potentially could) fall are being kind to us in the remaining fixtures we have left? a lot of what could possibly have been one of the harder games comes not long after an additional competition that team had to play in.

    Brentford (h) 2nd April

    Leicester (a) 7th April

    Man Utd (h) 13th April
    They play Europa QF leg 1 (away) to Lyon on 10th April

    Palace (h) 16th April

    Villa (a) 19th April
    They have Champions League second leg v PSG on 15th April so we aren?t that disadvantaged by squeezing the Palace game in.

    Ipswich (h) 26th April - no FA Cup Semi impact possible

    Brighton (a) 3rd May
    They have FA Cup QF (v Forest) 29th March)

    Chelsea (h) 10th May
    They have Conf League Semi (if they progress from QF) on 8th May - so likely to move to 11th

    Arsenal (a) 18th May - No FA Cup final impact possible

    Everton (h) 25th May

    FA Cup final (17th May) best case for us could mean City and Forest both have to squeeze in an extra fixture in the week before last game on 25th May, if not both then hopefully one of them.

    Teams to squeeze in:
    City - Bournemouth (h)*
    Forest - West Ham (a)

    *Bournemouth are playing City in QF, so there is still a chance that City would have to juggle fixtures to accommodate them even if City lose.

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