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No. It is not true nor was it for money.Originally Posted by Pie-eyed&legless
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I feel the exact opposite, I'd be delighted to see Williams back. I'm 99% sure the owners will stick with Maynard until the end of the season at least, but as much as I would love to see a positive outcome under him I just can't see it.
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An affair?
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With the ubiquitous tea-lady ?
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Like many have said, The Brothers do not (it seems) make rash/knee jerk decisions. Going back to the statement made last season, the following things were cited as metrics used when analysing performance levels over a long term:
Goal scoring chances created, goal scoring chances conceded and the quality of such chances. Having done some rudimentary research via FotMob:
Shots on Target per game = 4.7 (1/24)
Conversion % of Shots on Target = 10.9% (12/24)
Big chances = 93 (1/24)
Big chances missed = 59 (1/24)
xG F = 58.6 (2/24) vs 53 = Actual goals scored (Joint 2/24)
xG A = 38.6 (14/24) vs 37 = Actual goals conceded (Joint 5/24).
So, our attacking output in real terms is slightly worse than the stats suggest when more than xG is considered. Creating chances (a lot of them) but not taking them.
Average possession = 62.9% (1/24)
Accurate passes per game = 464 (1/24)
Success % = 84% (1/24)
Accurate long passes per game = 21 (23/24)
Success % = 39.5% (3/24)
Accurate crosses per game = 4.3 (13/24)
Success % = 20.5% (19/24)
Touches in opposition box = 792 (6/24)
I am sure no one is really surprised that we top possession and passes per game. I think some may be surprised at the touches in opposition box total and league rank. I wonder what crosses per game and success % would be with more Jones based contributing data. The long pass success % really surprises me, 3/24 overall.
Interceptions per match = 6.6 (22/24)
Successful tackles per match = 9.5 (21/24)
Tackle success per match = 60.8% (20/24)
Clearances per match = 22.3 (23/24)
Clean sheets = 12 (8/24)
Saves per match = 3.3 (2/24)
This interests me the most. Some may see this as poor (vernacular such as we do not win the ball, we do not win tackles and we do not clear the ball) but when considered against the possession stats, that style of play seems to be having a positive effective on us not having to defend as much. Clearly, Alex Bass is having an excellent season too.
For any definitions, see - https://www.fotmob.com/en-GB/faq
I would say that based on this Maynard is not going anywhere soon. But, who knows what the outcome of the season may hold.
The above shows me that our attacking output in real terms has been slightly worse when it comes to converting chances (given we have created plenty and of good quality) than the stats show it should have been.
Most were in agreement we needed to be strengthened in this area in January. Mai Traore is an unknown quantity. As were Whitaker and to a lesser extent Jarvis. Cedwyn never hit the heights for Notts in the league (for various reasons) and it was probably time for him to leave to get his career going. Jevani Brown went back and we all know where Dan Crowley went.
With the above considered, knowing the Head Coach model we implement, an argument can be made that Maynard is actually getting loads out of the players he has. If he had a little more; probably another striker to support Jatta and McGoldrick (which could still turn out to be Traore), we could be doing better than we are.
I 1000% get the issues raised surrounding everything football centric; tempo, substitutions, formations, changes of formation, team selection, injuries, departures and the rest and these are clearly of huge importance, but the above is a more Brothers-eyed-view and may give some food for thought.
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The situation at the moment is so interesting because it?s pitting what has been the owners main strategy, logical and longer term thinking, against the emotional hunch of the fanbase. And I really dont know what direction its going to go on.
There isnt really a rational case for Maynard to be under any pressure at all. Weve made obvious progress from last season. Absolutely everyone wouldve been happy with the position we find ourselves in before a ball was kicked. Were the second highest goalscorers in the division. The xG data, if anything, suggest we should actually be doing slightly better. Hes done this with constant injuries to his key players, and another one being sold in January (after possibly spending the first half of the season in a sulk).
And yet? pretty much no one is having this version of Notts. And I fully include myself in this. The atmosphere home and away is flat, and has been all season, even when weve been doing particularly well. Crowds are going in the wrong direction, not drastically, but enough to start noticing. Theres very little love towards the manager or the whole group really.
I think theres loads of different reasons for this. His nightmare start is really difficult to shake off. Hes clearly not the most charismatic communicator in interviews. The football is methodical rather than high octane. It?s following a guy who was popular, successful, charismatic and whose football was entertaining to the point of ridicule at times.
So what do they do? All of this stuff matters, and it?s very hard to change a football fans mind once its made up. Even if we went up, we?ll end up in this situation after every bad run. I actually think we were in a similar spot before with Ian Burchnall, but were saved by having to make a decision by Forest Green.
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Excellent overall post, as usual. But on this, do you think you could even take it a step further? Williams was so popular, nobody would really have been a suitable replacement after what he gave us.
It would probably have been easier for Maynard to be the guy who replaced the guy who replaced Williams, rather than the guy who replaced Williams.
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For sure - you see this all the time at big clubs where a successful manager moves on. Slot is bucking the trend at Liverpool but more often than not it takes someone to be a fall guy before they move on. Emery is clearly a brilliant manager but had a disaster following Wenger at Arsenal.
LW wasnt here long, but the impact he had at a club starved at success was massive. He was always going to be a difficult act to follow.
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I think this is my overall view at the minute. With that in mind, the horrendous time he had of it last season, and how well we have done so far this season, I actually think Maynard deserves a huge amount of credit. But like you say, it feel like a Great Escape sort of season when it really should not.
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I'm disappointed Maynard's still here. That's life!
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