There was a really interesting piece on the BBC explaining that they don't know what number of additional deaths over and above the norm in any one year will result from Covid-19, I think because they haven't modelled it. The point being that if about half a million people die each year in the UK, how many more will die from the virus versus how many would have died in any event because of whatever underlying condition makes them vulnerable. It's quite interesting that they don't know that (they seem to know for instance that seasonal flu leads to about 8,000 additional deaths per year I recall).
Obviously that's not the whole picture anyway. Even if not one single additional person died, the virus would accelerate and bring forward all those deaths to earlier in the year, which would put a huge strain on the NHS. Plus it's almost inconceivable that there won't be additional deaths, even if we don't know how many (e.g. people with diabetes who have already died, and presumably would have otherwise been fine).



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