Our chance of going down in percentage terms

[uysapie]

We have to face it - Notts are in a real battle for survival. Before saturday I'd have said better than 50/50. After saturday I'd say 60/40 in favour of relegation.

As it stands, I'd say 70/30 !

[queenslandpie]

As it stands, I'd say 70/30 !

Until we know who the new man is I would say 60-40 in favour of relegation. If we make a decent appointment I would hope that my prediction would change considerably and if its Nolan I would say 80-20 in favor of relegation!

[McCullochisGod]

I'm 100% convinced we won't go down.

ps. My god, how did we get here!!

So was Jack Lester.

[Big Bob]

As things seen to just get worse with no let up it's going to happen eventually that we go out the league.

[slack_pie]

I'd say about 30% chance of going down. Could shift that to 50% if we don't bring in the right man.

[McCullochisGod]

As most are probably aware, I often look to the bookies for an unbiased (apart from their 10% profit margin) opinion of where we really stand. A fair few bookies are offering 5/1 about us being relegated, which equates to a 16.7% chance of going down, therefore an 83.7% chance of staying up (in reality a bit less if you account for the profit margin). I wish I could share their optimism, because I rate our chances of survival way less than that. So what does everyone else think if you had to put a percentage chance on our survival?

Elite clear your inbox I'd like to PM you ...

[SwalePie]

I'd put our chances of going down at lower than 20% provided we bring in the right manager. Of course that's a random figure plucked out of thin air like all the others as there are far too many variables to even try and predict and that's why we love footie. Fortunately there are still some optimists left and the heavy weight of the pessimists' endless doomsaying isn't going to drag my hope or support for the club down, regardless of who it turns out to be. If it actually was a Steve Thompson I'd be happy to back him.