I suppose mid-table means you are in the middle pack of 8 teams so 9th to 16th and I hope that we are towards the top of those but with what we have seen this season and the state of the squad I think the bottom half of that group is more likely. I still think one out of the bottom four will crawl up and stay up, that would mean one team above them drops into that place and based on the last three seasons our form (messaged over 6 games) would have to get even worse.
A few stats for people.
Last 6 games we average 0.5 points, previous 6 games average 1.83 points, across those 12 games average is 1.16.
So with 15 games to go those averages could give us 46 points, 66 points or across 12 games 55 points.
To maintain 14th place over the last three seasons you needed 60, 56, 58 points. So taking the 12 game average we are likely to drop 1 or 2 places. That would put us in the bottom of that middle 8 teams.
Even if we hit the form of the games that averaged us 1.83 points a game achieving 66 points, over the last three seasons that would have placed us 10th, 10th and 12th. So our best form would only just get us in the top half!!
So the average across the last 12 league games of 1.16 points a game, if continued for the next 15 games gets us 55 points. Over the last 3 seasons that would have been 16th place, the bottom place of that middle 8 teams.
Being that staying up is the most realistic target for RUFC this season that is ok, but would TS and SE really tell us that 16th or even 14th is a successful season?