O/T:- ⚠️Impressed with the leadership [The UK Party Politics Thread]

[Elite_Pie]

'Watching with interest', more like wetting your pants, if the Tories lose all three.

If the Tories lose all three, I'm still hoping to retain bladder control.

Although I can't make any promises.

[the_anticlough]

I'll follow with mild interest...

All the souped up drama, and all the analysis, only obscures the basic fact that it reduces the tory majority from around 77 to 75 and that makes no practical difference whatsoever.

And then we'll have 3 new MPs.
I'm grateful to Matt Hancock for showing the nation what being a constituency MP really means in our system - sod all. Bugger off to an Australian jungle for weeks on end and it doesn't make a shred of difference to anything.
My only interest in the political system is seeing it changed root and branch. It isn't fit for purpose.

[Elite_Pie]

I'll follow with mild interest...

All the souped up drama, and all the analysis, only obscures the basic fact that it reduces the tory majority from around 77 to 75 and that makes no practical difference whatsoever.

I think their working majority is down to 60 now, but I agree it makes no practical difference. Although with the party in open civil war, it does take a few less rebels for them to lose a vote.

The important thing is the size of the majorities they stand to lose in what are traditionally safe seats. The only party I can really support at the moment is the ABTT party.

Anyone But The Tories.

[Magpies1959]

Reform Party?

[Elite_Pie]

Reform Party?

Maybe, if it was a very close race between them and the Tory.

The Reform Party will never amount to anything, and it would be another Tory booted out.

[Elite_Pie]

According to my mates the bookies:


Somerset and Frome - a LibDem gain looks done and dusted.

Uxbridge and South Ruislip - a likely Labour gain, but not definite.

Selby and Ainsty - a 20% chance that the Tories hold.

For Magpies1959, my incontinence pants are still dry.

[durhampie]

Mosely's Blackshirts

[maddogslater]

A challenging day for the leadership tomorrow, with not one but three by-elections taking place. All are usually safe Tory seats, but now who wins is in the hands of the electorate. By-elections tend to go against whoever is in power so you can't read too much into the results.
It will take a big swing for the Tories to lose one of them, and a massive swing to lose the other two.

Somerset and Frome - a huge majority for the Tories of over 19,000 votes looks highly likely to be overturned in favour of the LibDems.

Uxbridge and South Ruislip - vacant because of the resignation of Boris Johnson, who had a majority of over 7,000 at the last election. If Labour want to take power they have to win this, but the ULEZ issue might prove a spanner in the works.

Selby and Ainsty - a seat won by the Tories last time with a massive majority of over 20,000. Labour could easily overturn that, and if they do the Tory party will be sh!tting themselves.

I'll be watching with interest hoping this corrupt government get the severe kicking they deserve.

I wouldn't celebrate to much, for me the government of this country being in turmoil is a sad state of affairs. I support no particular party and the thought of keir Starmer and
the Labour doesn't give any reason for optimistic thoughts. Slava Ukraini! Yeah OK

[Elite_Pie]

I wouldn't celebrate to much, for me the government of this country being in turmoil is a sad state of affairs.

If they happen, any celebrations will be confined to the Tories being booted out.

They need to become the past, but I can't see a bright future under Labour.

Just a slightly less corrupt future.

[Magpies1959]

Very very slightly.