Is it gru..?.

[Heliosphan]

Isn't that the same as the heads/tails question already asked?

Yes it is but I didn't understand his answer. Now I do...

[gru]

Gru, let's imagine for a second, you're in a casino. You're at the roulette wheel and have seen the croupier spin 10 red numbers in succession.

You step forward.

Are you going red or black next? And why?

Never been in a casino! Be black law of averages then you've got to get right number.

[Heliosphan]

Never been in a casino! Be black law of averages then you've got to get right number.

That's where you're going wrong. We could have had 100 spins of red, it doesn't mean the next one will probably be black because previous spins don't affect the outcome of the next spin, it's always an equal chance of either colour. If it WAS black, that doesn't mean the colour was "due" it just means that black won in an even money shot.

Just to clarify. If you went to the table and tried to get odds on 10 red spins, you'd get good odds because the chances of guessing the sequence of 10 spins is unlikely. But that's not what you're doing.

When you play the lottery, you're betting on a single draw. Every ball has an equal chance of coming out and no previous draw has any influence on that. It's a complete illusion to think any ball or set of balls is somehow due.

[gru]

That's where you're going wrong. We could have had 100 spins of red, it doesn't mean the next one will probably be black because previous spins don't affect the outcome of the next spin, it's always an equal chance of either colour. If it WAS black, that doesn't mean the colour was "due" it just means that black won in an even money shot.

Just to clarify. If you went to the table and tried to get odds on 10 red spins, you'd get good odds because the chances of guessing the sequence of 10 spins is unlikely. But that's not what you're doing.

When you play the lottery, you're betting on a single draw. Every ball has an equal chance of coming out and no previous draw has any influence on that. It's a complete illusion to think any ball or set of balls is somehow due.

Told you I go on law of averages. See whose right.

[Masbroughstreet]

Told you I go on law of averages. See whose right.

Not you. Law of averages is also know as Gambler's fallacy. What Heliosphan is saying is factually correct. What you're saying is factually incorrect. You can never ever be proven right, if you were to win the lottery, it'd be purely down to luck, not your system.

You're a textbook narcissist. You're obsessed with being proven right, you wouldn't be happy just winning the lottery like a normal person, you have to outwit the lottery so that if you did win you could claim it was down to your intelligence. It's the same with football, You always have to select a player that nobody else rates to constantly bang on about, just so that on the off chance he turns out to be good you can claim to have spotted him. You crave admiration. You lack any ability to understand or take on board the opinions or reasoning of anyone else.

[gru]

Not you. Law of averages is also know as Gambler's fallacy. What Heliosphan is saying is factually correct. What you're saying is factually incorrect. You can never ever be proven right, if you were to win the lottery, it'd be purely down to luck, not your system.

You're a textbook narcissist. You're obsessed with being proven right, you wouldn't be happy just winning the lottery like a normal person, you have to outwit the lottery so that if you did win you could claim it was down to your intelligence. It's the same with football, You always have to select a player that nobody else rates to constantly bang on about, just so that on the off chance he turns out to be good you can claim to have spotted him. You crave admiration. You lack any ability to understand or take on board the opinions or reasoning of anyone else.

I do listen to people who can tell me something I don't know & I rate. I've worked with some in different ways team leaders gaffers call them what you want talented people. But when it comes to gambling I'm single minded if it doesn't work it's my money I've lost no one else's. When I was backing horses & a jockey who had previous winners that day I'd go to the law of averages & not back him later on that meeting it's my of thinking.

[Masbroughstreet]

I do listen to people who can tell me something I don't know & I rate. I've worked with some in different ways team leaders gaffers call them what you want talented people. But when it comes to gambling I'm single minded if it doesn't work it's my money I've lost no one else's. When I was backing horses & a jockey who had previous winners that day I'd go to the law of averages & not back him later on that meeting it's my of thinking.

A lot of posters on here tell you things you don't know and you never listen to any of it and again, you miss the point completely. Nobody is telling you how to spend your money, if you want to gamble it away that's your perogative, but don't try to convince yourself you're being clever with this system of yours as it's a load of crap.

Playing the lottery is completely different to betting on horses, the two can't be compared. One is completely random, one isn't. You can't study one, you can study the other. Surely you can see the difference?

Your law of averages theory has ended up with you not trusting yourself to have an online betting account, reducing your betting on horses to only one race meeting a year and pinning all your hopes on winning the lottery. That suggests your law of averages theory hasn't really worked down the years.

[clarkey1974]

I do listen to people who can tell me something I don't know & I rate. I've worked with some in different ways team leaders gaffers call them what you want talented people. But when it comes to gambling I'm single minded if it doesn't work it's my money I've lost no one else's. When I was backing horses & a jockey who had previous winners that day I'd go to the law of averages & not back him later on that meeting it's my of thinking.

I agree with that bit that’s it’s your money and no one else”s.I learned that when I used to go in bookies and people in there used to say this will win that will win,and I used to say no thanks I will back my own horses,may be theirs won maybe mine won.maybe none of ours won.but it was my choice and my money.and not only monetary gains but the fact i have studied out the winner gave me more satisfaction.

[gru]

I agree with that bit that’s it’s your money and no one else”s.I learned that when I used to go in bookies and people in there used to say this will win that will win,and I used to say no thanks I will back my own horses,may be theirs won maybe mine won.maybe none of ours won.but it was my choice and my money.and not only monetary gains but the fact i have studied out the winner gave me more satisfaction.

When Dettori had those 7 winners at Ascot remember my nap of that day was mark of distinction his mount he'd already had at least 3 winners so backed something else in that race so lost out that's how it goes. Best days racing I've ever had going was at Uttoxeter when Martin Pipe was training I had 5 out of 7 winners. Like I used to do was prepared to lose but Pipe got me 1st 2 winners set me on my way. But been to meetings 4 bets no winners.

[gru]

Law of averages Royal Ascot can't stand flat racing but who had a good day yesterday failed in big race today. Got 31 lines on lotto tonight incl' 7 free lucky dips Wednesday lotto luckier for me. Got to be won so bring it on!