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So a Conservative win in Hartlepool. I am sure there will be an enquiry within Labour, but some reasons may be:
Where did the votes that last time went to the Brexit Party go? Probably virtually all to the Conservatives.
As was said on TV, Starmer isn't the problem, people still don't trust the Labour Party.
The roll out of the vaccines has really helped the Conservatives. People don't seem to care about the PMs 'sleaze' accusations.
Early days for Starmer - sounds a bit like a head coach I know!
Starmer is fairly dull and doesn’t really appear to stand for much, but there’s clearly much more to it than just him.
Ultimately I don’t really know why anyone would be surprised that the Tories are continuing to hoover up votes. Economically, they’re pretty much on the left at the minute. At least apart from the taxes bit, where they’re keeping their existing supporters sweet. Problem they’ve got is that this is essentially completely unsustainable, and at some point they’ll need to do something with their economic policy that isn’t trying to please everyone.
It’s completely flipped voting patterns (not just Brexit but cultural stuff more generally), Labour has just been much slower to work out what to do about it. The Tories have realised it and changed their offer to be more left wing economically than they ordinarily would be, and the result is easy wins in places like Hartlepool.
Labour needs to realise that the ‘Red Wall’ is basically gone and stop focusing all its efforts into winning back places like Hartlepool. Just as all of those places were vulnerable to the Tories, there are loads of seats currently Conservative which have been trending towards Labour over the last few years. Usually younger places, suburban seats, large towns. Once Labour works out what it’s offer to places like that is (Altrincham, Wimbledon, Broxtowe - that kind of place) then you’ll have your realignment complete.
Ha ha ha, Momentum gets another spanking.....I wonder why?
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